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    "textoCompleto" => "<p class="elsevierStylePara"> Jueves 2 de Octubre &#47; Thursday 2&#44; October<br></br> 17&#58;00&#58;00 a&#47;to 18&#58;00&#58;00</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">111</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">FACTORES QUE DETERMINAN EL USO DEL PAPANICOLAOU EN MUJERES MEXICANAS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Rosa Mar&#237;a Ortiz Espinosa&#42;&#44; Sergio Mu&#241;oz Ju&#225;rez&#42;&#44; Socorro M&#225;rquez Maldonado&#42;&#42;&#44; Maria de los Angeles Moron Arella&#241;o&#42;&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Coordinaci&#243;n de Investigaci&#243;n&#44; Secretaria de Salud de Hidalgo&#44; Pachuca&#44; M&#233;xico&#46; &#42;&#42;Direcci&#243;n de Regulaci&#243;n Sanitaria&#44; Secretaria de Salud&#44; Pachuca&#44; M&#233;xico&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Antecedentes</span>&#58; El c&#225;ncer cervicouterino es la neoplasia m&#225;s frecuente en mujeres mexicanas y en Latinoam&#233;rica&#46; En M&#233;xico existe un programa poblacional desde hace 20 a&#241;os&#44; no obstante la mortalidad por esta causa continua siendo constante&#46; Existen factores relacionados con la cobertura y accesibilidad del servicio que influyen en la detecci&#243;n y tratamiento oportuno&#44; pero adem&#225;s se encuentran los relacionados con la aceptabilidad&#44; la tendencia e intensidad de uso del Papanicolaou &#40;PAP&#41; por parte de la poblaci&#243;n&#44; que influyen en la decisi&#243;n de no hacerse el PAP&#46; En el &#225;rea rural&#44; las posibilidades que tiene la mujer para decidir sobre su vida sexual y su auto cuidado son&#44; con frecuencia limitadas&#44; la capacidad general para negociar con &#233;xito las necesidades en torno a la salud de su propio organismo son limitadas&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Objetivo&#58;</span> Identificar los factores que determinan el uso del PAP&#46; Material y m&#233;todos&#58; Se realiz&#243; un dise&#241;o transversal anal&#237;tico y comparativo&#46; Se aplic&#243; una entrevista estructurada a usuarios de 15 a 49 a&#241;os&#44; de las unidades de primer nivel&#44; seleccionados aleatoriamente&#46; Se utiliz&#243; estad&#237;stica descriptiva&#44; Ji cuadrada y Regresi&#243;n log&#237;stica no condicional&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> Se encontr&#243; que el 31&#44;22&#37; de los encuestados desconoc&#237;an el PAP y su funci&#243;n&#44; de este grupo&#44; el 82&#46;5&#37; nunca se la hab&#237;an hecho&#46; La mayor proporci&#243;n de desconocimiento se observo en los hombres en comparaci&#243;n con las mujeres &#40;45&#37; vs 15&#44;49&#37;&#41;&#44; el desconocimiento en los usuarios analfabetos fue 33&#44;1&#37; y de 44&#44;3&#37; en los residentes de municipios de mayor marginaci&#243;n&#46; Cuatro de cada diez varones lo desconocen&#44; y en las mujeres dos de cada diez &#40;P &#61; 0&#44;004&#41;&#46; El 46&#37; de los usuarios ignoran los factores de riesgo asociados a cacu&#46; En las usuarias que refirieron nunca haberse efectuado un PAP&#44; las principales causas fueron&#44; porque no lo consideran necesario Raz&#243;n de Momios &#40;RM&#41; crudo de 2&#44;5 con intervalos de confianza &#40;IC&#41; de 95&#37;&#58; 1&#44;3 a 4&#46;8&#44; el personal no me da confianza RM 4&#44;1 IC 95&#37; 1&#44;3 a 12&#44;3&#46; El conocimiento del c&#225;ncer cervico uterino &#40;CaCu&#41; y el saber que es curable fue diferente&#44; en las alguna vez usuarias del Pap y aquellas nunca usuarias&#40;P &#61; 0&#46;000&#41;&#44; as&#237; como el conocimiento de la prevenci&#243;n del cacu &#40;P &#61; 0&#46;00&#41;&#46; Las variables asociadas a la demanda del PAP fueron el desconocimiento del CaCu Raz&#243;n de Momios &#40;RM&#41; 3&#44;6 IC al 95&#37; &#40;1&#46;7 a 7&#46;7&#41;&#44; desconocer que se puede evitar RM 1&#44;71 IC &#40;1&#46;19&#44;2&#46;4&#41;&#44; desconocimiento que es curable RM 3&#44;36 IC &#40;1&#46;8&#44;6&#46;2&#41; y ser analfabeta RM 4&#46;24 IC &#40;2&#46;1&#44;8&#46;3&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> El conocimiento previo de la neoplasia&#44; y el saber que es curable son factores primordiales que se deben de incluir en las acciones de informaci&#243;n&#44; educaci&#243;n y comunicaci&#243;n &#40;IEC&#41; de los programas de prevenci&#243;n y destacar la necesidad de dise&#241;ar estrategias donde se difunda los ben&#233;ficos del PAP&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">112</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">SMOKING&#44; ALCOHOL&#44; AND DENTITION IN THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF ORAL CANCER IN POLAND</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Jolanta Lissowska&#42;&#44; Agnieszka Pilarska&#42;&#42;&#44; Pawel Pilarski&#42;&#42;&#44; Danuta Samolczyk-Wanyura&#42;&#42;&#44; Janusz Piekarczyk&#42;&#42;&#44; Alicja Bardin-Mikolajczak&#42;&#44; Witold Zatonski&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Dept&#46; of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention&#44; Cancer Center &#38; M Sklodowska-Curie Institute of Oncology&#44; Warsaw&#44; Poland&#46; &#42;&#42;2 2nd Maxillofacial Surgery Clinic&#44; Medical Academy&#44; Warsaw&#44; Poland&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> The role of smoking&#44; drinking&#44; and dental care on the risk of oral and pharyngeal cancer was investigated in a case-control study conducted in Warsaw&#44; Poland&#46; Cases were 122 patients &#40;including 44 females&#41; aged 23-80 years with incident&#44; histologically confirmed cancer of oral cavity and pharynx&#46; Controls were 124 subjects &#40;including 52 females&#41; admitted to the hospital for different non-neoplastic conditions unrelated to tobacco and alcohol consumption&#44; frequency matched to cases by age and sex&#46; Smoking and drinking were strongly associated with an increased risk of oral cancer&#46; Among consumers of both products&#44; risks of oral cancer tended to combine in a multiplicative fashion and were increased more than 14-fold among those who consumed more than 15 cigarettes and 7 or more drinks per day&#46; Cessation of smoking was associated with reduced risk of this cancer&#46; The risks varied by type of cigarettes smoked&#44; being lower among those consuming filtered cigarettes only &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;6&#41; than non-filter &#40;OR&#61;6&#46;5&#41; or mixed &#40;OR&#61;4&#46;2&#41; cigarettes&#46; After adjustment for tobacco smoking and alcohol drinking&#44; poor dentition as reflected by missing teeth&#44; frequency of dental check-ups and frequency of teeth brushing emerged as a strong risk factors&#46; Number of missing teeth and frequency of dental check-ups and frequency of tooth brushing showed increased ORs of 9&#46;8&#44; 11&#46;9 and 3&#46;2 respectively&#46; Denture wearing per se did not affect oral cancer risk&#46; In terms of attributable risk&#44; smoking accounted for 57&#37; of oral cancer cases in Poland&#44; alcohol for 31&#37;&#46; Attributable risks for low frequency of tooth brushing and dental check-ups were 56&#37; and 47&#37; respectively&#46; In conclusion&#44; smoking and drinking cessation are likely to be effective preventive measures against oral cancer&#46; These findings indicate also that poor oral hygiene may be independent risk factor&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">113</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">DECLINING MORTALITY RATES FOR NONMELANOMA SKIN CANCERS IN WEST GERMANY&#44; 1968 THROUGH 1999&#46; AN ANALYSIS OF 11&#46;226 NONMELANOMA SKIN CANCER DEATHS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Andreas Stang&#44; Karl-Heinz J&#246;ckel</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Epidemiology Unit&#44; Medical Faculaty&#44; University of Essen&#44; Essen&#44; Germany&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Purpose&#58;</span> Since the primary source of data for cancer registries is the inpatient hospital file&#44; routinely collected statistics on nonmelanoma skin cancer &#40;NMSC&#41; are usually incomplete and not comparable with other forms of cancer&#46; We therefore examined time trends of the nonmelanoma skin cancer mortality for the territory of West-Germany including a population of about 66 million people&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> We analysed the nonmelanocytic skin cancer mortality data &#40;1968-1999&#41; from West-Germany including West-Berlin&#46; We calculated age-specific and age-standardized mortality rates &#40;World Standard Population&#41; and used Poisson regression to estimate underlying age&#44; cohort and period effect&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> From 1968 &#40;population size of the territory of the Federal State of Germany before the reunification&#58; 60&#46;0 million&#41; through 1999 &#40;population size&#58; 66&#46;9 million&#41;&#44; about 11&#46;226 deaths were attributed to NMSC&#46; The NMSC mortality was greater among men than among women throughout the period studied&#46; The estimated percent annual decrease of the age-standardized nonmelanocytic skin cancer mortality rate was -2&#46;3&#37; &#40;95&#37;CI -2&#46;6&#59; -1&#46;9&#41; among men and -3&#46;5&#37; &#40;95&#37;CI&#58; -4&#46;0&#59; -3&#46;1&#41; among women during the period 1968 through 1999&#46; This decline is mainly due to a rate decrease in people aged 80 years or more&#46; The age-specific estimated annual percent changes of the NMSC mortality rates indicate that the greater decline among women is mainly due to a greater rate decrease in women aged 80 years or more&#46; The change in nonmelanoma skin cancer mortality rates was best explained by age-&#44; cohort- and period effects&#46; The age-specific proportions of skin cancer deaths attributed to NMSC declined in people aged 50 year or more from 1968 through 1999&#46; In the early period from 1968 through 1979&#44; about 58&#37; of the male skin cancer deaths and 61&#37; of the female skin cancer deaths in people age 80 years or more were attributed to NSMC&#46; These proportions declined to 33&#37; and 29&#37;&#44; respectively in the latest period from 1990 through 1999&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> The nonmelanoma skin cancer mortality in West-Germany showed a continuous decrease from 1968 through 1999&#46; The favourable mortality decline by birth cohort in the most recent birth cohort is an important indicator of a likely decline in mortality over the next years&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">114</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">POLYMORPHISMS G691S &#47; S904S OF RET AS GENETIC MODIFIERS IN CANCER PATIENTS FROM FAMILIES WITH MULTIPLE ENDOCRINE NEOPLASIA TYPE 2A</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Marina Poll&#225;n<span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>&#44; Mercedes Robledo<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Laura Gil<span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>&#44; Arancha Cebri&#225;n<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Sergio Ruiz<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Marta Aza&#241;edo<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Javier Ben&#237;tez<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Javier Men&#225;rguez<span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span>&#44; Jose Mar&#237;a Rojas<span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>&#193;rea de Epidemiolog&#237;a Ambiental y C&#225;ncer&#44; Centro Nacional de Epidemiolog&#237;a del ISCIII&#46;&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>Unidad de Gen&#233;tica&#44; Centro Nacional de Investigaciones Oncol&#243;gicas &#40;CNIO&#41;&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>Unidad de Biolog&#237;a Celular&#44; Centro Nacional de Microbiolog&#237;a del ISCIII&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup"> 4</span>Unidad de Anatom&#237;a Patol&#243;gica&#44; Hospital Gregorio Mara&#241;&#243;n&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Multiple endocrine neoplasia type 2A &#40;MEN2A&#41; is associated with specific germline missense mutations in the RET proto-oncogene&#46; It is an autosomal dominant trait with high penetrance and variable clinical expression&#46; Medullary thyroid carcinoma is the main clinical feature&#44; but&#46; there are variations&#44; even between members of the same family&#44; regarding the disease onset and its presentation&#46; Our objective was to explore whether two associated RET polymorphisms&#44; G691S and S904S&#44; could have any influence on the clinical form and the age at onset of the disease&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> G691S &#40;exon 11&#41; and S904S &#40;TCC-TCG&#44; exon 15&#41; polymorphisms of RET were analyzed in 198 individuals corresponding to 35 unrelated Spanish MEN2A families &#40;104 patients with oncogenic MEN 2A mutation and 94 healthy relatives&#41; and in a control population of 653 healthy individuals by amplification and sequencing analysis&#46; In all cases&#44; both polymorphisms co-segregated and were considered as a single variable in subsequent analyses&#46; The prevalence of G691S&#47;S904S polymorphisms was compared in MEN2A cases and their healthy relatives using the corrected Pearson&#39;s chi-square test allowing for correlation between members of the same family&#46; In the same way&#44; a possible correlation among cases between these polymorphisms and type of clinical presentation was assessed&#46; The relationship between G691S&#47;S904S polymorphisms and age at diagnosis in MEN2A patients was investigated considering &#34;age&#34; as a continuous variable and also as a dichotomous one&#44; taking 20 years as the cut-off&#46; Differences across G691S&#47;S904S groups were quantified using linear regression and logistic regression&#46; In both instances&#44; robust estimators of variance were used&#44; clustered in families&#46; The same analysis was restricted to index cases or probands&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> The studied polymorphisms followed Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium in the control population&#46; Among cases&#44; they were not related with the type of clinical presentation&#44; but homozygous were&#44; on average&#44; ten years younger when they were diagnosed &#40;p &#61; 0&#46;037&#41;&#46; In fact&#44; homozygous had an 8-fold probability to be diagnosed at an age before 20 &#40;p &#61; 0&#46;010&#41;&#46; Obviously&#44; these results could be biased given that the clinical diagnosis for some members of the same family may be conditioned on the time of diagnosis of the corresponding proband&#46; However&#44; when we focused specifically on index cases&#44; the association between age at onset and homozygote G691S &#47; S904S genotype persisted &#40;p &#60; 0&#46;001&#41;&#44; and the OR for being diagnosed before 20 was even stronger &#40;OR &#61; 19&#46;3&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusion&#58;</span> These results suggest that the presence of the RET polymorphisms G691S&#47;S904S seems to act as a genetic modifier causing an early appearance of the disease in MEN2A patients&#46; They could be used as markers in asymptomatic children of MEN2A families guiding time of surgical preventive resection&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">115</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">GASTRIC CANCER MORTALITY TRENDS BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREA IN SPAIN&#44; 1975-2000</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Nuria Aragon&#233;s&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente&#44; Marina Poll&#225;n&#44; Beatriz P&#233;rez-G&#243;mez&#44; Valent&#237;n Hern&#225;ndez&#44; Mario C&#225;rdaba&#44; Berta Su&#225;rez&#44; Alicia Estirado</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Centro Nacional de Epidemiolog&#237;a&#44; Instituto de Salud Carlos III&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Though gastric cancer mortality has been declining during the last decades in Spain&#44; its evolution might have not been uniform across the country&#46; The objective of this analysis is to describe gastric cancer mortality trends by sex and geographical area in Spain&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material and methods&#58;</span> Both mortality and population data were obtained from the National Statistics Institute&#46; During the study period&#44; three revisions of the International Classification of Diseases were used &#40;8th&#44; 9th and 10th&#41;&#46; According to it&#44; 151-code was considered from 1975 to 1998 &#40;8th-9thICD&#41; and C16-code from 1999 to 2000 &#40;10thICD&#41;&#46; Individual records broken down by sex&#44; age group&#44; year of death and province of residence were used to compute age-adjusted mortality rates &#40;European standard population&#41; by sex&#44; year&#44; and Autonomous Community&#46; Joinpoint regression analysis was used to detect changes in trends from 1975 to 2000&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> In men&#44; Spain had an overall annual reduction of 3&#37; in gastric cancer mortality from 1975 to 2000&#46; Rates decreased a 4&#46;57&#37; per year until 1982&#44; where the speed of this decline was significantly reduced to 2&#46;56&#37;&#46; In women&#44; the same phenomenon was observed&#58; gastric cancer mortality rates decreased 3&#46;84&#37; per year from 1975-2000&#44; although rates descended a 5&#46;95&#37; each year until 1980&#44; where the fall in mortality slowed down to a 3&#46;51&#37;&#46; Among Autonomous Communities&#44; joinpoint regression analysis did not detect significant changes in trends for most of them neither in men nor in women&#46; There are&#44; however&#44; Autonomous Communities where gastric cancer rates for men stopped decreasing or even increased in recent years&#44; as Asturias&#44; Cantabria or Murcia&#46; When studying age groups from 35-64 and 65&#43;&#44; results were quite similar&#44; with annual changes in both sexes around -3&#46;0 and a statistically significant variation in trend around the early 80&#39;s in both age groups&#46; This similarity in trends among different age groups points toward a homogeneous cohort effect for successive generations&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> Gastric cancer mortality rates fell down in Spain from 1975 to 2000&#46; There is a significant steady decline from 1975 to the early 80&#39;s followed by a less accentuated reduction afterwards&#46; This general pattern of decrease could be observed in men and women of different age groups in most geographical areas&#46; There were nevertheless important differences in the magnitude of rates among geographical areas which persisted until recent years&#44; although these differences between Autonomous Communities tended to diminish along time&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">116</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">PREVALENCIA DE VPH Y OTROS FACTORES DE RIESGO PARA LESIONES NEOPL&#193;SICAS PREINVASORAS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Mireia Diaz Sanchis&#42;&#44; &#192;ngela Twose L&#225;zaro&#42;&#44; Jordi Ponce Sebasti&#224;&#42;&#42;&#44; M&#46; Dolores Mart&#237; Cardona&#42;&#42;&#44; Silvia de Sanjose Llongueres&#42;&#44; F&#46; Xavier Bosch i Jos&#233;&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Servicio de Epidemiolog&#237;a y Registro del C&#225;ncer&#44; Institut Catal&#224; d&#39;Oncologia&#44; Hospitalet de Llobregat&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;Servicio de Ginecolog&#237;a&#44; Patolog&#237;a Cervical y Colposcop&#237;a&#44; Ciudad Sanitaria y Universitaria de Bellvitge&#44; Hospitalet de Llobregat&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introducci&#243;n&#58;</span> Las cl&#237;nicas de colposcop&#237;a asociadas a programas de cribaje reciben pacientes remitidas por un espectro de diagn&#243;sticos citol&#243;gicos con variabilidad de lectura importante&#46; La determinaci&#243;n del ADN de VPH puede contribuir a clarificar el pron&#243;stico de las lesiones ambiguas &#40;ASCUS&#41; y quiz&#225;s de las lesiones de bajo grado &#40;LSIL&#41;&#46; Los factores de riesgo convencionales de las lesiones preinvasoras tienen un bajo poder discriminatorio y escasa utilidad pron&#243;stica y de control cl&#237;nico&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">M&#233;todos&#58;</span> Se ha realizado un estudio caso-control entre las mujeres remitidas a una Unidad de Patolog&#237;a Cervical y Colposcop&#237;a por citolog&#237;a de cribado patol&#243;gica &#40;ASCUS&#44; LSIL&#44; HSIL&#41;&#46; A todas las mujeres se les realiz&#243; una entrevista epidemiol&#243;gica sobre factores de riesgo para neoplasia cervical&#44; una citolog&#237;a y biopsia de verificaci&#243;n y se obtuvo una muestra cervical para la determinaci&#243;n de VPH de alto riego mediante Captura de H&#237;bridos II&#46; En el an&#225;lisis estad&#237;stico se compararon mujeres con lesiones intraepiteliales de bajo y alto grado versus mujeres con lesiones de significado indeterminado mediante modelos de regresi&#243;n log&#237;stica polit&#243;mica&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> Hasta el momento se han reclutado 375 mujeres con citolog&#237;a de cribado patol&#243;gica distribuidas en ASCUS 18&#46;1&#37;&#44; lesi&#243;n intraepitelial de bajo grado &#40;LSIL&#41; 45&#44;1&#37; y lesi&#243;n intraepitelial de alto grado &#40;HSIL&#41; 36&#44;8&#37;&#46; El determinante mayor de las lesiones de bajo y alto grado versus lesiones ASCUS es la presencia de VPH HR&#44; la prevalencia es de 21&#44;5&#37; para las mujeres con ASCUS&#44; 44&#44;0&#37; para LSIL &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">LSIL</span> &#61; 2&#44;4 &#40;1&#44;2-4&#44;8&#41;&#41; y 81&#44;8&#37; para HSIL &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 15&#44;3 &#40;7&#44;2-32&#44;7&#41;&#41;&#46; Se detecta un aumento de riesgo asociado a haber tenido 4 o m&#225;s compa&#241;eros sexuales &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">LSIL</span> &#61; 3&#44;3 &#40;1&#44;2-9&#44;2&#41;&#59; OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 5&#44;0 &#40;1&#44;7-14&#44;4&#41;&#41; y al consumo de tabaco &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">LSIL</span> &#61; 2&#44;6 &#40;1&#44;3-5&#44;6&#41;&#59; OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 3&#44;6 &#40;1&#44;6-8&#44;1&#41;&#41;&#46; Aparece un efecto protector con 3 o m&#225;s partos &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">LSIL</span> &#61; 0&#44;2 &#40;0&#44;1-0&#44;8&#41;&#59; OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 0&#44;2 &#40;0&#44;1-0&#44;9&#41;&#41;&#46; Solamente para HSIL&#44; se halla riesgo asociado a haber tenido relaciones sexuales con compa&#241;eros casuales &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 3&#44;0 &#40;1&#44;3-6&#44;9&#41;&#41; y un efecto protector con el uso de preservativos &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 0&#44;5 &#40;0&#44;2-0&#44;9&#41;&#41;&#46; Ajustando por VPH desaparece el efecto del n&#250;mero de relaciones sexuales y el uso de preservativo&#44; pero se mantienen el consumo de tabaco&#44; el n&#250;mero de partos y para HSIL&#44; las relaciones sexuales con compa&#241;eros casuales&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> La prevalencia de ADN de VPH en lesiones citol&#243;gicas es sensiblemente distinta a la encontrada en estudios realizados en otras poblaciones y que se han establecido como referencia internacional&#46; Por ejemplo&#44; el estudio ALTS<span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#42;</span> describe ADN de VPH en 50&#37; de los ASCUS y en 80&#37; de las lesiones LSIL&#44; indicando la variabilidad y la especificidad local en la lectura de la citolog&#237;a&#46; Los resultados de referencia en estudios de triaje deben interpretarse en relaci&#243;n a las caracter&#237;sticas de los diagn&#243;sticos citol&#243;gicos locales&#46; La introducci&#243;n del test de VPH en cl&#237;nicas de colposcop&#237;a puede ayudar a establecer el pron&#243;stico y la conducta terap&#233;utica con mayor precisi&#243;n que la investigaci&#243;n sobre factores de riesgo de la paciente&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#42;</span>J Natl Cancer Inst&#59;92&#58;397-402</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">117</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">AN&#193;LISIS DE LA VARIACI&#211;N GEOGR&#193;FICA DE LA MORTALIDAD POR C&#193;NCER DE EST&#211;MAGO EN GALICIA</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Elisa Mar&#237;a Molanes&#44; M&#170; Eugenia Lado</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Servicio de informaci&#243;n sobre Sa&#250;de P&#250;blica&#44; Conseller&#237;a de Sanidade&#44; Santiago de Compostela&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introducci&#243;n&#58;</span> En los &#250;ltimos a&#241;os&#44; han surgido diferentes m&#233;todos estad&#237;sticos para estimar y suavizar las razones de mortalidad est&#225;ndar &#40;RME&#41;&#44; y poder as&#237; realizar comparaciones m&#225;s fiables del estado de salud de diferentes &#225;reas geogr&#225;ficas&#46; Los principales objetivos de este estudio son&#58; &#40;1&#41; aplicar un &#34;nuevo&#34; m&#233;todo bayesiano no param&#233;trico de suavizado de tasas y &#40;2&#41; comparar los resultados con los obtenidos al aplicar el modelo cl&#225;sico de Besag&#44; York y Molli&#233; &#40;modelo de convoluci&#243;n&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">M&#233;todos&#58;</span> Para llevar a cabo este estudio se obtuvieron del Registro de Mortalidad de Galicia&#44; los datos de mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de est&#243;mago &#40;CIE-9 151 y CIE-10 C16&#41; de la poblaci&#243;n masculina de Galicia en el per&#237;odo 1995-1999&#46; Se utilizaron las poblaciones a 1 de enero para cada a&#241;o&#44; municipio y grupo quinquenal de edad&#44; y como poblaci&#243;n est&#225;ndar se consider&#243; la poblaci&#243;n gallega en el per&#237;odo de estudio&#46; Con estos datos se calcularon las RME crudas y se estimaron las RME con ambos modelos&#46; Para ajustar el modelo bayesiano no param&#233;trico se utiliz&#243; el software BDCD y para el modelo de convoluci&#243;n el WinBUGS&#46; Para cada m&#233;todo se representaron geogr&#225;ficamente las estimaciones de las RME obtenidas para cada municipio&#44; as&#237; como su significaci&#243;n estad&#237;stica&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> La distribuci&#243;n espacial de las RME crudas no define claramente ninguna zona de riesgo de mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de est&#243;mago&#46; En el mapa obtenido con el modelo bayesiano no param&#233;trico se detect&#243; como zona con mayor riesgo de mortalidad toda la zona occidental de Galicia y la zona centro de la provincia de Lugo&#46; Sin embargo&#44; al estudiar su significaci&#243;n estad&#237;stica &#250;nicamente se mantuvo como &#225;rea de alto riesgo parte de la zona occidental de Galicia&#46; En lo que se refiere al mapa basado en el modelo de convoluci&#243;n&#44; se detect&#243; como &#250;nica zona de riesgo la parte occidental de Galicia y&#44; asimismo&#44; s&#243;lo una parte de ella se mantuvo como &#225;rea de riesgo en su mapa de significaci&#243;n&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> De este estudio se concluye que los mapas que representan las RME estimadas son menos ruidosos que el que representa las RME crudas y que ambos modelos coinciden en detectar como zona de mayor riesgo de mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de est&#243;mago la costa occidental de Galicia&#46; Aunque los resultados obtenidos son muy similares&#44; el modelo bayesiano no param&#233;trico se muestra m&#225;s adecuado que el modelo de convoluci&#243;n para la representaci&#243;n geogr&#225;fica del mapa de riesgos de &#225;reas peque&#241;as&#44; ya que adem&#225;s de suavizar el valor de las RME en cada &#225;rea permite detectar discontinuidades en el mapa&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">118</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">INCIDENCIA Y SUPERVIVENCIA RELATIVA DE LOS LINFOMAS NO HODGKIN EN GIRONA 1994-1999</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Rafael Marcos Gragera&#42;&#44; &#192;ngel Izquierdo Font&#42;&#44; Cristalina Fern&#225;ndez Fidalgo&#42;&#42;&#44; Santiago Gardella&#42;&#42;&#44; M&#170; Loreto Vilardell Gil&#42;&#44; Maria Bux&#243; Pujolr&#224;s&#42;&#44; Pau Viladiu Quemada&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Unitat d&#39;Epidemiologia i Registre de C&#224;ncer de Girona&#44; Institut Catal&#224; d&#39;Oncologia de Girona&#44; Girona&#44; Spain&#46; &#42;&#42;Servei d&#39;Hematologia&#44; Instiut Catal&#224; d&#39;Oncologia de Girona&#44; Girona&#44; Spain&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Objetivo&#58;</span> Conocer la incidencia y supervivencia relativa poblacional de los linfomas no Hodgkin &#40;LNH&#41; en Girona&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material y m&#233;todos&#58;</span> A partir de los datos obtenidos por el Registro poblacional de C&#225;ncer de Girona&#44; se analiz&#243; la incidencia y supervivencia de los linfomas no Hodgkin en la Regi&#243;n Sanitaria Girona &#40;RSG&#41;&#46; La poblaci&#243;n cubierta por el registro seg&#250;n el censo de 1996 fue de 518&#46;531 habitantes&#46; Se calculan las tasas de incidencia brutas &#40;T&#46;B&#41; y ajustadas &#40;T&#46;Aj&#41; a la poblaci&#243;n est&#225;ndar mundial&#46; Para el c&#225;lculo de la supervivencia se hizo un seguimiento de los pacientes hasta 12&#46; 1999&#46; Se calcul&#243; la supervivencia relativa&#44; tasa entre la supervivencia observada y la esperada&#44; calculada &#233;sta en funci&#243;n de la mortalidad de la poblaci&#243;n de Girona&#46; Se utiliz&#243; el m&#233;todo de Est&#232;ve&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><img src="138v17nSupl.2-13051580tab01.gif"></img></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><img src="138v17nSupl.2-13051580tab02.gif"></img></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> En la RSG los linfomas no Hodgkin ocupan el s&#233;ptimo lugar en orden de frecuencia&#44; tanto hombres como en mujeres&#46; La incidencia de los LNH es mas alta en los hombres&#46; Cuando comparamos con las cifras de incidencia obtenidas en el resto de registros espa&#241;oles &#40;EUROCIM&#44; ENCR&#41; observamos&#44; en el caso de los hombres&#44; una incidencia estad&#237;sticamente superior de los LNH en la RSG&#46; A nivel internacional la incidencia de los LNH en la RSG es situar&#237;a a un nivel intermedio - alto&#46; &#40;Cancer Incidence in Five Continents VII&#44; 1997&#41;&#46; La SR de los LNH es similar a la que se da en el resto de registros espa&#241;oles&#44; europeos y americanos &#40;EUCAN&#44; 1997&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">119</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">LUNG CANCER MORTALITY TRENDS BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS IN SPAIN&#46; 1975-2000</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Mario C&#225;rdaba&#44; Nuria Aragon&#233;s&#44; Marina Poll&#225;n&#44; Beatr&#237;z P&#233;rez&#44; Berta Su&#225;rez&#44; Alicia Estirado&#44; Valent&#237;n Hern&#225;ndez&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Epidemiolog&#237;a Ambiental y C&#225;ncer&#44; Instituto de Salud Carlos III&#44; Madrid&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Lung cancer mortality has been declining since 1990s in Europe&#46; Spain presents a delayed pattern due to its different phase of tobacco epidemic&#46; The aim of this analysis is to describe lung cancer mortality trends by sex&#44; age and geographical area in Spain&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material and methods&#58;</span> Lung cancer mortality &#40;International Classification of Diseases &#40;ICD&#41;8th&#58;-9th&#58;162&#59; ICD-10th&#58;C34&#41; and population data were obtained from the National Statistics Institute&#46; Individual records broken down by sex&#44; age&#44; year of death and province of residence were used to compute age-adjusted and age-adjusted truncated &#40;35-64&#41; rates &#40;European standard population&#41; by sex&#44; year&#44; and Autonomous Community&#46; Joinpoint regression analysis was used to detect changes in trends between 1975-2000&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> Age-adjusted rates for Spanish males showed an annual percent of change&#40;APC&#41; for 1975-2000 of 2&#46;11&#37;&#46; However&#44; joinpoint analysis detected changes in trends in 1988 and 1994 &#40;1975-1988 APC&#58;3&#46;54&#37;&#59; 1988-1994&#58;1&#46;58&#37;&#59; 1994-2000&#58; -0&#46;35&#37;&#41;&#46; Truncated rates showed an increase of 2&#46;05&#37; between 1975-200&#44; although rates increased a 3&#46;3&#37; per year until 1990 and reached a plateau since&#46; Among regions&#44; global rates show a positive APC for period 1975-2000 ranging from 0&#46;6&#37; in Cantabria up to 3&#46;52&#37; in Castile-La Mancha&#46; Truncated rates follow a similar homogeneous pattern&#46; Joinpoint analysis detected significant changes in trends in late 1980s or early 1990s&#44; changing from a clear increase to smooth increments&#44; plateaus or even a decline in rates afterwards&#46; Spanish females&#44; for global rates&#44; showed an annual increase of 0&#46;47&#37; between 1975-2000&#46;Nevertheless&#44; joinpoint analysis detected a change in trend in 1990&#44; moving from an annual decrease of -0&#46;71&#37; to an increase of 2&#46;39&#37;&#46; Truncated rates presented an increase of 1&#46;15&#37; for period 1975-2000&#44; but again an acute change in trend turns up in 1990&#44; when APC shifted sharply from -1&#46;43&#37; to 5&#46;38&#37; annually&#46; Among regions&#44; global rates between 1975-2000 seem irregular&#46; Some suggest a rising slope &#40;Balearic Islands&#58;1&#46;53&#37;&#59; Madrid&#58;2&#46;52&#37;&#59; Basque Country&#58;1&#46;87&#37;&#41;&#46; Others show a minimal increase&#40;Catalonia&#58; 0&#46;09&#37;&#59; Castile-Leon&#58; 0&#46;24&#37;&#41; or even a decline &#40;Extremadura&#58; -1&#46;75&#37;&#44; La Rioja&#58; -1&#46;24&#37;&#44; Aragon&#58;-0&#46;65&#37;&#41;&#46; Truncated rates exhibit a similar pattern though in general increases are greater&#46; Joinpoint analysis detected changes in global and truncated rates&#46; Some regions imitate the nationwide pattern of decrease-increase while others do not&#46; These changes came about in late 1980s or middle 1990s and are sharper in truncated rates&#46; However&#44; Extremadura and Castile-La Mancha present a continuous decline between 1975-2000&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> While time trends in lung cancer mortality in men are levelling off since 1990s&#44; in females they are increasing sharply&#44; specially in 35-64 age group&#44; pointing to the beginning of the epidemic phenomenon of lung cancer in women that is affecting to cohorts born after 1940&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">120</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">FEMALE BREAST CANCER MORTALITY TRENDS BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS IN SPAIN&#46; 1975-2000</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Berta Su&#225;rez&#44; Nuria Aragon&#233;s&#44; Marina Poll&#225;n&#44; Beatriz P&#233;rez-G&#243;mez&#44; Mario C&#225;rdaba&#44; Alicia Estirado&#44; Valent&#237;n Hern&#225;ndez&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Centro Nacional de Epidemiolog&#237;a&#44; Instituto de Salud Carlos III&#44; Madrid&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Breast cancer is the commonest malignancy in women in Spain&#46; Though mortality rates have decreased during the last decade&#44; within the country each region has had a different pattern of mortality&#46; The objective of this investigation is to describe female breast cancer mortality trends by geographical area in Spain&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material and methods&#58;</span> Female breast cancer mortality &#40;International Classification of Diseases &#40;ICD 8th-9th&#58;174&#59; ICD-10th&#58;C50&#41; and population data were obtained from the National Statistics Institute&#46; Individual records broken down by age group&#44; year of death and province of residence were used to compute age-adjusted mortality rates &#40;European Standard population&#41; and age-adjusted truncated rates &#40;35-64 years&#41; by year and by periods of five years for each Autonomous Community&#40;AC&#41; and for Spain as a whole&#46; Joinpoint regression analysis was used to detect statistically significant changes in trends from 1975 to 2000&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> In Spain&#44; age-adjusted mortality rates increased until the 1991-1995 period&#46; Joinpoint analysis detected the change in trend in 1991&#58; while the annual increase until this year was 2&#46;41&#37;&#44; rates begun to decline since &#40;-1&#46;75&#37;&#41;&#46; Truncated rates had a quite similar evolution&#44; though in this case the annual decrease from 1992 onwards was bigger &#40;-3&#46;33&#37;&#41;&#46; This initial increase in rates&#44; followed by a descending trend&#44; was found across the whole country&#44; excepting Cantabria where mortality rates had a continuous light increase&#46; Joinpoint analysis detected statistically significant changes in trend between 1990-95 in most of the Autonomous Communities&#46; Although apparently rates in Aragon&#44; Valencian Community and Basque Country showed a similar trend&#44; changes were not statistically significant&#46; La Rioja had the highest increase&#44; 3&#46;42&#37; per year&#44; and a very fast decline&#44; -6&#46;35&#37;&#46; It is noteworthy the intense decrease observed in Navarra &#40;-8&#44;28&#37;&#41; while in the other ACs descents ranged between -1&#44;04 in Murcia and -3&#44;4&#37; in Catalonia&#46; Also remarkable was Madrid&#44; where two points of change were identified&#44; defining three different periods&#58; rates had a slow increase until 1985 &#40;1&#46;08&#37;&#41;&#44; a sharp ascent till 1988 &#40;12&#46;74&#37;&#41; and a slight decline since that year &#40;1&#46;04&#37;&#41;&#46; Truncated rates trends among Autonomous Communities had a similar evolution than all-ages groups rates&#44; though with a higher decreasing slope&#46; Every community had a change in trend but the joinpoint analysis only detected significant changes in 10 of them&#46; Murcia was the community with the highest increase before the joinpoint &#40;3&#46;05&#37;&#41;&#44; followed up by La Rioja &#40;2&#46;96&#37;&#41; whose decreasing slope afterwards was very high &#40;-9&#46;33&#37;&#41;&#46; Madrid had again a different pattern from the other ACs&#44; similar to the one observed for all-ages groups rates&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> Breast cancer mortality rates increased in Spain between 1975-1991 and then declined&#46; Screening programs and the improvement in early diagnostic and therapeutic methods might explain this important decline in mortality rates among women&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">121</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">NON-HODGKIN LYMPHOMAS MORTALITY IN MADRID</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Berta Su&#225;rez&#42;&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente&#42;&#44; Consuelo Ib&#225;&#241;ez&#42;&#42;&#44; Valent&#237;n Hern&#225;ndez&#42;&#44; Mario C&#225;rdaba&#42;&#44; Alicia Estirado&#42;&#44; Nuria Aragon&#233;s&#42;&#44; Beatriz P&#233;rez-G&#243;mez&#42;&#44; Marina Poll&#225;n&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;National Centre for Epidemiology&#44; Carlos III Institute&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46; &#42;&#42;Epidemiology Unit&#44; Madrid Regional Health Authority&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> To study the spatial pattern of home addresses of deaths by non-hodgkin lymphomas in the Madrid Autonomous Community&#44; considering mortality as a spatial point process&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material and methods&#58;</span> The mortality registry of the Statistics Institute of the Community of Madrid supplied a database containing information from all death certificates with mention to non-hodgkin lymphomas &#40;NHL&#41; during the period 1991-1997as well as a randomly selected sample of 1500 controls&#44; stratified by year of death and sex&#46; All permanent home addresses of cases and controls were georeferencied in UTM-coordinates&#46; Spatial clusters were detected by means of an approach based on the study of Ripley&#39;s K functions differences among cases and controls&#46; In order to identify clusters&#44; we obtained a relative risk surface comparing the kernel-smoothed spatial intensity of the process among cases and controls&#46; Its intersection with tolerance bounds from the constant region wide relative risk hypothesis allow to locate the clusters&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> 1502 cases of NHL were registered&#46; The case-control comparison showed a possible borderline significant cluster around a distance of 200 meters&#46; The study of the spatial intensity allows to identify NHL clusters in the south area of Torrej&#243;n de Ardoz and in two districts of Madrid city&#46; A classical analysis by logistic regression found the following results for the municipal covariate&#58; Torrej&#243;n OR&#61;1&#46;96 &#40;95&#37; CI 0&#46;76-1&#46;08&#41; and Madrid OR&#61;1&#46;20 &#40;95&#37; CI 0&#46;99-1&#46;45&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> The study of mortality as a spatial point process may be an useful tool to detect patterns that could remain hidden with lattice data analysis&#46; The identified spatial NHL clusters could match partially with the distribution of AIDS rates in the Madrid Region&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">122</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">EVOLUCI&#211;N DE LA MORTALIDAD POR CANCER DE MAMA EN CATALUNYA&#44; 1991-2000</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Xavi Puig&#44; Rosa Gispert&#44; Anna Puigdef&#224;bregas</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Servei d&#39;Informaci&#243; i Estudis&#44; Departament de Sanitat i Seguretat Social&#44; Barcelona&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Antecedentes&#58;</span> La evoluci&#243;n de la mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de mama en a&#241;os recientes manifiesta una clara inflexi&#243;n en la tendencia al aumento significativos mostrado en a&#241;os anteriores&#46; En esta evoluci&#243;n pueden influir tanto la incidencia de este tumor como su supervivencia&#44; aspecto relacionado con la efectividad de la asistencia sanitaria que se presta a estas pacientes&#46; El objetivo del trabajo es analizar si la evoluci&#243;n de la mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de mama por grupo de edad es consistente con la tendencia general de esa causa de mortalidad en Catalunya&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">M&#233;todos&#58;</span> Se han empleado las defunciones por c&#225;ncer de mama &#40;CIM-9&#58;174&#59; CIM-10&#58;C50&#41; del per&#237;odo 1991-2000 del Registro de Mortalidad del Departament de Sanitat de Catalunya&#44; y la poblaci&#243;n a partir de estimaciones intercensales y postcensales&#46; Los datos se disponen truncados para las mujeres mayores de 34 a&#241;os&#44; y estratificados por grupos de edad decenales&#44; siendo el &#250;ltimo abierto 85 a&#241;os y m&#225;s&#46; Para evaluar la tendencia se han ajustado modelos de poisson para cada grupo de edad&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> En el per&#237;odo 1991-2000 se registraron 10&#46;116 defunciones por c&#225;ncer de mama en mujeres mayores de 34 a&#241;os&#46; El porcentaje global de cambio anual es de -2&#44;7&#37;&#46; Esta evoluci&#243;n no es homog&#233;nea por grupos de edad&#44; en los que se observa un claro gradiente&#44; as&#237; las mujeres de 35 a 44 a&#241;os son las que han experimentado una reducci&#243;n m&#225;s acusada&#44; del -5&#44;6&#37;&#44; y paulatinamente se modera la tendencia descendiente con la edad&#44; siendo en las mujeres mayores de 84 a&#241;os de -0&#44;5&#37;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> La reducci&#243;n de las tasas de mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de mama a diferentes edades ha sido muy importante en la &#250;ltima d&#233;cada&#44; con un manifiesto gradiente relacionado con la edad&#46; La reducci&#243;n del la mortalidad de manera consistente en todos los grupos de edad suscribe el efecto beneficioso de las intervenciones sanitarias frente a este tumor&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">123</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">CHEMICALS AND ELECTROMAGNETIC FIELDS OCCUPATIONAL EXPOSURE AND RISK OF TESTICULAR CANCER AMONG SWEDISH MEN</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Alicia Estirado&#42;&#44; Marina Poll&#225;n&#42;&#44; Beatriz P&#233;rez-G&#243;mez&#42;&#44; Per Gustavsson&#42;&#42;&#44; Nils Plato&#42;&#42;&#44; Girgitta Floderus&#42;&#42;&#42;&#44; Nuria Aragon&#233;s&#42;&#44; Montse Alcalde&#42;&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;National Centre for Epidemiology&#44; Carlos III Institute of Health&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46; &#42;&#42;Department of Public Health Sciences&#44; Karolinska Institutet&#44; Stockholm&#44; Sweden&#46; &#42;&#42;&#42;Institute of Environmental Epidemiology&#44; Karolinska Institutet&#44; Stockholm&#44; Sweden&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Previous studies have reported an association between testicular cancer and some jobs&#44; suggesting that certain occupational exposures could play an etiological role&#46; The aim of this study is the association between seminoma and nonseminoma tumours and the occupational exposure to chemicals and electromagnetic fields &#40;ELMF&#41; among Swedish men&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material and methods&#58;</span> The base population for this historical cohort comprised all Swedish men recorded in the 1960 census&#44; who were gainfully employed at the time of the 1970 census&#44; and were still alive and over the age of 24 years on January 1&#44; 1971&#46; The follow-up period was 19 years &#40;1971-1989&#41;&#46; The Swedish cancer environmental register was used to compute specific rate numerators&#44; and the 1970 census to compute specific rate denominators&#46; Exposure to 13 chemical factors was assessed by linking each combination of occupation and industrial branch to a Swedish job-exposure matrix &#40;JEM&#41;&#44; which classifies them as probable&#44; possible and non exposed&#46; Exposure to ELMF was assessed using a Swedish JEM based on the 100 most common jobs among men&#46; The interaction between chemicals and ELMF was done in the subcohort of subjects with information available for both exposures&#46; Relative risks &#40;RRs&#41; adjusted for age&#44; period&#44; geographical area&#44; town-size and occupational sector were computed using log-linear Poisson models&#46; The same analyses were repeated for young people &#40;&#60;40 years&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> During follow-up a total of 748 seminomas and 405 nonseminomas were reported&#46; In the general cohort&#44; 39 seminomas were possibly exposed to peak of pesticides&#44; with RR&#58; 1&#46;17 &#40;CI 95&#37;&#58; 0&#46;70 - 1&#46;94&#41;&#46; While exposure to solvents for nonseminomas presented a dose response relationship with RR 1&#46;17 for possible exposed and 1&#46;21 for probable exposed&#44; none of them attained statistical significance&#46; Only 8 nonseminomas were possibly exposed to petroleum products&#58; RR&#58; 1&#46;34 &#40;CI 95&#37;&#58; 0&#46;65 - 2&#46;77&#41;&#44; and none was probably exposed to this product&#46; In summary&#44; no statistically significant association was found between chemicals or ELMF and testicular cancer in the general cohort or in the subgroup of younger workers&#46; There was not observed an interaction between ELMF and any of the chemicals studied&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> Our results did not corroborate the previously reported increased risks for occupational exposure to solvents&#44; oil mixtures&#44; petroleum products&#44; PAH or metals&#46; Nevertheless&#44; exposure misclassification caused by JEM may have biased the RRs towards the null hypothesis&#46; ELMF did not act as a risk factor or as an effect modifier for testicular cancer in this cohort&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">124</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">C&#193;NCER DE MAMA EN LA PROVINCIA DE C&#193;DIZ&#58; VARIABLES SOCIODEMOGR&#193;FICAS&#44; CONDUCTAS EN SALUD Y ESTADIO AL DIAGN&#211;STICO</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Mar&#237;a Victoria Garc&#237;a-Palacios&#42;&#44; Encarnaci&#243;n Ben&#237;tez&#42;&#44; Soledad M&#225;rquez&#42;&#42;&#44; Antonio Escolar&#42;&#44; Estrella Figueroa&#42;&#42;&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Servicio de Medicina Preventiva y Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Hospital Universitario Puerta del Mar&#44; C&#225;diz&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;Escuela Andaluza de Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Granada&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;&#42;Servicio de Medicina Preventiva y Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Hospital Universitario de Puerto Real&#44; C&#225;diz&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Objetivos&#58;</span> Describir los factores sociodemogr&#225;ficos&#44; conductas en salud y estadio posquir&#250;rgico TNM de las mujeres diagnosticadas de c&#225;ncer de mama&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Metodolog&#237;a&#58;</span> El estudio prospectivo incluy&#243; todos los casos incidentes de tumor maligno de mama con confirmaci&#243;n histopatol&#243;gica entre el 1 Enero 1999 y 30 Junio 2000 en mujeres residentes en las &#225;reas hospitalarias de C&#225;diz y Puerto Real&#46; Mediante entrevista por personal entrenado se midieron variables sociodemogr&#225;ficas &#40;edad&#44; estado civil&#44; nivel de educaci&#243;n&#44; municipio de residencia&#41;&#44; cl&#237;nicas &#40;primer s&#237;ntoma manifestado y n&#250;mero total de s&#237;ntomas&#41;&#44; del sistema sanitario &#40;distrito&#44; cobertura&#44; tipo de consulta ante el primer s&#237;ntoma&#41;&#44;conductas en salud de la mujer &#40;participaci&#243;n en actividades de detecci&#243;n precoz&#44; autoexploraci&#243;n&#41; y tiempo transcurrido hasta el diagn&#243;stico &#40;retraso debido al paciente&#58; tiempo transcurrido desde la aparici&#243;n del primer s&#237;ntoma a la visita a un m&#233;dico y retraso debido al sistema&#58; desde la visita a un m&#233;dico al diagn&#243;stico&#41;&#46; El estadio tumoral en el momento del diagn&#243;stico se midi&#243; mediante clasificaci&#243;n TNM&#46; Se realiz&#243; an&#225;lisis de frecuencias&#44; medias&#44; DE y porcentajes para la descripci&#243;n de los datos&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> Se estudiaron 179 pacientes &#40;40 asintom&#225;ticas diagnosticadas por screening&#41; con una edad media de 56&#44;9 a&#241;os &#40;rango&#58; 26-90&#41; siendo el 44&#44;4&#37; mujeres &#60; 50 a&#241;os&#46; La mayor parte &#40;59&#44;2&#37;&#41; no ten&#237;a estudios primarios completos&#46; El 60&#37; de las mujeres present&#243; un solo s&#237;ntoma&#44; siendo el m&#225;s frecuente el bulto mamario&#46; Un 46&#37; de las mujeres con edad en criterio de screening no acudi&#243; al mismo&#46; En relaci&#243;n a la autoexploraci&#243;n&#44; el 74&#37; no hab&#237;a o&#237;do hablar de este t&#233;rmino&#44; aunque la mitad de las mujeres la practicaban habitualmente &#40;55&#44;5&#37;&#41;&#46; El 60&#37; de las pacientes acudi&#243; al m&#233;dico en el primer mes desde la percepci&#243;n de su primer s&#237;ntoma&#46; &#40;media 75&#44;4&#59; DE 184&#44;35&#59; mediana 8&#44;0&#59; rango 0-1106 d&#237;as&#41;&#46; El tratamiento quir&#250;rgico se realiz&#243; tras una media de 96&#44;32 d&#237;as &#40;DE 130&#44;18&#44; mediana 55&#44;0&#59; rango 2-1045&#41; siendo el estadio posquir&#250;rgico m&#225;s frecuentemente encontrado el IIa y IIb&#46; El 68&#37; present&#243; un tumor &#62; 2 cent&#237;metros&#44; mientras que solamente el 4&#44;1&#37; present&#243; un estadio con tumor in situ&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> Las mujeres de este estudio tienen una edad similar a la descrita en la literatura&#44; y la mayor&#237;a tiene un nivel educativo bajo&#46; La participaci&#243;n en programas de screening fue menor a la considerada como necesaria para reducir la mortalidad por c&#225;ncer &#40;70&#37;&#41;&#44; por lo que se deben investigar formas de penetraci&#243;n en estos colectivos y otras posibles estrategias de prevenci&#243;n en las mujeres m&#225;s j&#243;venes&#44; no incluidas en estos programas y que representaron casi la mitad de los diagn&#243;sticos&#46; El tratamiento de estas pacientes sufri&#243; una demora sanitaria considerable siendo la mayor&#237;a diagnosticadas con un tumor &#62; 2 cent&#237;metros&#44; momento en el que la enfermedad comienza a crecer m&#225;s r&#225;pidamente&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">125</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">FACTORES SOCIODEMOGR&#193;FICOS&#44; SANITARIOS&#44; CONDUCTA EN SALUD Y ESTADIO DIAGN&#211;STICO DEL C&#193;NCER DE MAMA&#58; COMPARACI&#211;N SEG&#218;N DOS CLASIFICACIONES</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Mar&#237;a Victoria Garc&#237;a-Palacios&#42;&#44; Encarnaci&#243;n Ben&#237;tez&#42;&#44; Soledad M&#225;rquez&#42;&#42;&#44; Antonio Escolar&#42;&#44; Estrella Figueroa&#42;&#42;&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Servicio de Medicina Preventiva y Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Hospital Universitario Puerta del Mar&#44; C&#225;diz&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;Escuela Andaluza de Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Granada&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;&#42;Servicio de Medicina Preventiva y Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Hospital Universitario de Puerto Real&#44; C&#225;diz&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Objetivos&#58;</span> Identificar si existe asociaci&#243;n entre los factores socioecon&#243;micos&#44; sanitarios y conductas en salud previas al diagn&#243;stico&#44; y el estadio posquir&#250;rgico TNM del c&#225;ncer de mama seg&#250;n dos estadiajes diferentes&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Metodolog&#237;a&#58;</span> El estudio prospectivo incluy&#243; todos los casos incidentes de c&#225;ncer de mama con confirmaci&#243;n histopatol&#243;gica entre el 1 Enero 1999 y 30 Junio 2000 en mujeres residentes en las &#225;reas hospitalarias de C&#225;diz y Puerto Real&#46; Se realiz&#243; entrevista personal midiendo factores de utilizaci&#243;n del sistema sanitario&#44; variables cl&#237;nicas&#44; participaci&#243;n en actividades de detecci&#243;n precoz&#44; autoexploraci&#243;n&#44; retraso debido al paciente y al sistema y otras variables &#40;edad&#44; estado civil&#44; nivel de estudios&#46;&#46;&#46;&#41;&#46; La variable dependiente TNM se reconvirti&#243; en estadios cl&#225;sicos &#40;I-IV&#41; y en un segundo estadiaje seg&#250;n diagn&#243;stico precoz &#40;precoz&#58; T0-is-T1&#44; N0-N1&#44; M0 y avanzado&#58; T2-T4&#44; N0-N1&#44;M1&#41;&#46; Mediante regresi&#243;n log&#237;stica se analiz&#243; la relaci&#243;n entre el estadio encontrado y las posibles variables predictoras&#46; Se ha evaluado el ajuste de los modelos&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> Se estudiaron 179 pacientes&#44; siendo los estadios cl&#225;sicos m&#225;s frecuentes el IIa &#40;33&#44;1&#37;&#41; y IIb &#40;21&#44;9&#37;&#41;&#59; presentando el 68&#37; un diagn&#243;stico no precoz&#46; Se encontr&#243; un mayor riesgo de presentar un tama&#241;o tumoral &#62; 2 cm en las mujeres no diagnosticadas por screening &#40;OR &#61; 2&#44;29&#41;&#46; De los 2 modelos de regresi&#243;n finales &#40;excluy&#233;ndose 40 mujeres asintom&#225;ticas&#41;&#44; se relacion&#243; un mayor riesgo de lesiones &#62; 2 cm &#40;diagn&#243;stico avanzado&#41; con&#58; mujeres no casadas &#40;OR &#61; 4&#44;00&#41;&#44; no realizar autoexploraci&#243;n &#40;OR&#61;2&#44;55&#41;&#44; presentar m&#225;s de un s&#237;ntoma &#40;OR &#61; 3&#44;89&#41; y mujeres cuya decisi&#243;n de consultar al m&#233;dico no fuese exclusivamente suya &#40;OR &#61; 2&#44;57&#41;&#46; Se asoci&#243; un mayor retraso en el sistema en los tumores m&#225;s peque&#241;os &#40;5 meses&#44; frente 3 meses en los de mayor tama&#241;o&#41;&#46; El modelo cl&#225;sico relacion&#243; con un mayor estadio&#58; un menor nivel de estudios &#40;OR&#61;7&#44;8&#41;&#44; no realizar autoexploraci&#243;n mamaria &#40;OR &#61; 2&#44;46&#41;&#44; tener un s&#237;ntoma diferente al bulto mamario &#40;OR &#61; 3&#44;73&#41; y cuando la decisi&#243;n de acudir al m&#233;dico no la tomaba exclusivamente la paciente &#40;OR &#61; 2&#44;66&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> La clasificaci&#243;n basada en un diagn&#243;stico precoz &#40;T &#60; 2 cm&#41;&#44; manifest&#243; la importancia del screening en mujeres asintom&#225;ticas y de la consulta precoz ante la presencia de un primer s&#237;ntoma&#44; para lograr diagn&#243;sticos tumorales menores y susceptibles de cirug&#237;a conservadora&#46; No obstante&#44; las pacientes con menor tama&#241;o tumoral sufrieron un mayor retraso en el sistema&#44; cuestionando la preparaci&#243;n de dispositivos para un tratamiento definitivo que amenazar&#237;a la utilidad de la detecci&#243;n precoz&#46; La conducta en salud de la mujer&#44; como la discutida autoexploraci&#243;n&#44; se relacion&#243; con un tama&#241;o tumoral menor y estadios menos avanzados&#46; El bajo nivel cultural y el presentar un s&#237;ntoma diferente al bulto mamario aparecen como el principal predictor de una enfermedad avanzada&#44; por lo que deber&#237;a plantearse una informaci&#243;n dirigida a estos grupos que evitara un retraso excesivo por parte del paciente&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">126</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">BREAST CANCER RISK FACTORS&#44; ACCORDING TO JOINT ESTROGEN RECEPTOR&#47;PROGESTERONE RECEPTOR STATUS OF TUMOR</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Jennifer A&#46; Rusiecki&#44; Theodore R&#46; Holford&#44; Tongzhang Zheng</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Department of Epidemiology and Public Health&#44; Yale University&#44; School of Medicine&#44; New Haven&#44; USA&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Most of the risk factors identified for breast cancer have been found to have modest relative risks and account for only a portion of breast cancer cases&#46; Characterization of breast tumors on both estrogen receptor &#40;ER&#41; and progesterone receptor &#40;PR&#41; status suggests distinct biological and clinical profiles&#46; Therefore&#44; analyzing breast cancer as one disease may obscure associations with suspected risk factors and lead to studies finding weak associations&#46; Based on these profiles&#44; it has been hypothesized that tumors responsive for both hormones &#40;ER&#43;PR&#43;&#41; are most closely associated with hormone-related risk factors&#44; tumors unresponsive for both hormones &#40;ER-PR-&#41; are less associated with these risk factors&#44; and receptor discordant tumors &#40;ER&#43;PR- and ER-PR&#43;&#41; have intermediate effects&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> In this case-control study we investigated whether the effects of suspected risk factors for breast cancer varied by joint ER&#47;PR status of tumor&#44; by examining age at menarche&#44; age at first full term pregnancy&#44; nulliparity&#44; lifetime lactation&#44; menopausal status&#44; body mass index&#44; ever use of estrogen&#44; alcohol intake&#44; smoking&#44; family history and race&#44; for four tumor subtypes &#40;ER&#43;PR&#43;&#44; ER-PR-&#44; ER&#43;PR- and ER-PR&#43;&#41;&#46; For a given risk factor&#44; odds ratios with respect to the common control group were compared using multiple logistic regression&#44; adjusted for all other risk factors simultaneously&#46; We also compared the ER&#43;PR&#43; case group to the ER-PR- case group&#44; since it has been hypothesized that they represent the two breast cancer subtypes which differ most substantially&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> Among 420 cases and 406 controls&#44; the effects of some risk factors varied by joint ER&#47;PR status&#46; Early age at menarche &#40;&#60;12 years&#41; was most strongly associated with ER-PR&#43; tumors &#40;OR&#61;2&#46;3&#59; 95&#37;CI&#44; 0&#46;7-8&#46;4&#41;&#46; Additionally&#44; women with ER&#43;PR&#43; tumors were 2&#46;2 times more likely to have experienced early menarche than women with ER-PR- tumors &#40;95&#37;CI&#44; 0&#46;8-6&#46;2&#41;&#46; Women who had an older age at their first pregnancy &#40;&#61; 30 years&#41; were most likely to have ER&#43;PR- tumors &#40;OR&#61;2&#46;2&#59; 95&#37;CI&#44; 1&#46;1-4&#46;5&#41;&#46; Women who reported ever having consumed alcohol were 3&#46;4 times more likely to have ER&#43;PR&#43; tumors than ER-PR- tumors &#40;95&#37;CI&#44; 1&#46;4-8&#46;4&#41;&#46; Family history of breast cancer was most closely associated with ER&#43;PR&#43; tumors &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;5&#59; 95&#37;CI&#44; 0&#46;9-2&#46;5&#41; and ER&#43;PR- tumors &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;5&#59; 95&#37;CI&#44; 0&#46;8-2&#46;9&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> Although we detected several interesting individual effects&#44; there was no clear pattern of association whereby ER&#43;PR&#43; tumors were most closely associated with hormonally mediated risk factors and ER-PR- tumors were more closely associated with non-hormonally mediated risk factors&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">127</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">FACTORES ASOCIADOS AL LUGAR DE FALLECIMIENTO DE LOS PACIENTES CON C&#193;NCER&#46; GRANADA&#44; 1995-99</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Maria Jos&#233; S&#225;nchez&#42;&#44; Maria Teresa Guerrero&#42;&#44; Elena Corpas&#42;&#44; Carmen Mart&#237;nez&#42;&#44; Rafael G&#225;lvez&#42;&#42;&#44; Nicol&#225;s Olea&#42;&#42;&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Registro de C&#225;ncer de Granada&#44; Escuela Andaluza de Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Granada&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;Hospital Universitario Virgen de las Nieves&#44; Granada&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;&#42;Hospital Universitario San Cecilio&#44; Granada&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Antecedentes&#58;</span> Diversos estudios han mostrado la preferencia de los pacientes con c&#225;ncer por permanecer en su domicilio hasta la muerte&#46; La experiencia en diversas &#225;reas en pa&#237;ses desarrollados muestra que el porcentaje de los que mueren en su domicilio es inferior al 50&#37;&#46; El lugar de la muerte est&#225; condicionado por factores sociodemogr&#225;ficos&#44; caracter&#237;sticas del propio tumor o duraci&#243;n de la supervivencia&#44; pero tambi&#233;n por la organizaci&#243;n de la atenci&#243;n domiciliaria o de los cuidados paliativos&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Los objetivos fueron&#58; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">1&#41;</span> conocer el lugar de la muerte &#40;hospital o domicilio&#41; de todas las personas fallecidas en el a&#241;o 1999 y diagnosticadas por primera vez de c&#225;ncer entre 1995 y 1999&#44; residentes en la provincia de Granada&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">2&#41;</span> identificar los factores asociados al lugar de la defunci&#243;n&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">M&#233;todos&#58;</span> Estudio descriptivo transversal de base poblacional&#46; Se incluyeron todos los fallecidos en el a&#241;o 1999&#44; diagnosticados por primera vez de c&#225;ncer en el per&#237;odo 1995-1999&#44; residentes en la provincia de Granada&#46; La informaci&#243;n se obtuvo del Registro de C&#225;ncer de Granada&#46; Para la codificaci&#243;n de la localizaci&#243;n anat&#243;mica del c&#225;ncer se utiliz&#243; la Clasificaci&#243;n Estad&#237;stica Internacional de Enfermedades y Problemas Relacionados con la Salud &#40;CIE-10&#41;&#46; Las principales variables de estudio fueron&#58; edad&#44; g&#233;nero&#44; lugar de residencia &#40;municipios mayores o menores de 20&#46;000 habitantes&#41;&#44; a&#241;o de diagn&#243;stico&#44; localizaci&#243;n del tumor&#44; tiempo de supervivencia desde el diagn&#243;stico&#44; ingresos hospitalarios durante el a&#241;o del fallecimiento&#44; contacto con Unidad de Cuidados Paliativos y&#47;o del Dolor &#40;UCP&#41;&#46; Para conocer los factores asociados al lugar de la muerte se realiz&#243; un an&#225;lisis de regresi&#243;n log&#237;stica multivariante&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> Se incluyeron 1&#46;393 fallecimientos del a&#241;o 1999&#46; M&#225;s del 50&#37; eran hombres y un 80&#37; eran mayores de 60 a&#241;os&#46; Los c&#225;nceres m&#225;s frecuentes fueron los de pulm&#243;n&#44; colon-recto y pr&#243;stata en hombres y los de mama&#44; colon-recto y leucemias en mujeres&#46; El 38&#37; falleci&#243; en el hospital&#44; si bien en un 10&#37; adicional de los casos el fallecimiento se produjo en un per&#237;odo inferior a 3 d&#237;as desde el alta hospitalaria&#46; Los pacientes con leucemias y linfomas fallecieron con mayor frecuencia en el hospital&#46; En el an&#225;lisis multivariante&#44; los sujetos que presentaron mayor riesgo de morir en el hospital fueron los menores de 60 a&#241;os&#44; residentes en Granada ciudad o grandes n&#250;cleos urbanos&#44; que hab&#237;an tenido un ingreso hospitalario en el a&#241;o 1999&#44; que no hab&#237;an tenido contacto con la UCP y cuya supervivencia era inferior a 2 meses&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> Del total de los pacientes con cancer fallecidos en el a&#241;o 1999&#44; casos incidentes del periodo 1995-1999&#44; un 38&#37; falleci&#243; en el hospital&#46; El lugar de fallecimiento se asoci&#243; con la edad&#44; el &#225;mbito de residencia&#44; la duraci&#243;n de la supervivencia y la asistencia en Unidades de Cuidados Paliativos&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">128</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">ATTITUDES OF POLISH WOMEN TO SCREENING MAMMOGRAPHY PROGRAMS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Ingrid Rozylo-Kalinowska<span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>&#44; Pawel Kalinowski<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Alina Bochenska<span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>&#44; T&#46; Katarzyna Rozylo<span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>2nd Department of Medical Radiology&#44; University Medical School of Lublin&#44; Lublin&#44; Poland&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>Department of Epidemiology&#44; University Medical School of Lublin&#44; Lublin&#44; Poland&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>Private Medical Practice&#44; Wyszk&#243;w&#44; Poland&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup"> 4</span>Department of Dental and Maxillofacial Radiology&#44; University Medical School of Lublin&#44; Lublin&#44; Poland&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Breast carcinoma is one of the most prevalent malignant neoplasms in Polish women&#46; The etiology of the disease has not been fully understood therefore there are no methods of primary prevention&#44; and secondary prevention in the form of screening mammography is used&#46; The success of a screening program depends for the most part on attendance rate of the patients as well as their attitude towards the examination&#46; The objective of the study was to examine the knowledge on purposefulness of mammography among peri-menopausal women as well as to determine their psychological attitude towards planned screening mammography&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> Two-hundred and fifty women inhabitants of Wyszk&#243;w administrative unit in Poland&#44; who attended free screening mammography on the basis of contract with Mazovia Sick Fund in the year 2002&#44; comprised the material&#46; Anonymous questionnaire was filled after an informed consent&#44; directly before the mammographic procedure&#46; The questionnaire contained elements of the Psychological Consequences Questionnaire &#40;PCQ&#41;&#46; The data were analyzed statistically taking into account such demographic data as age&#44; education&#44; marital status&#44; and place of residence&#46; There was analyzed the knowledge of patients on mammography&#44; their motivation for attending such examinations&#44; psychological attitude connected with possible consequences of the result of the procedure&#44; anxiety associated with pain caused by the mammographic technique&#44; as well as declared will to regularly repeat the screening in future&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> The majority of the patients attended screening mammography because it was free as well as because they feared an undetected neoplastic lesion&#46; The women were often preoccupied with the influence of the expected result of mammography on their future&#46; Most of the patients were decided on attending screening mammography in future despite psychological discomfort and physical pain caused by the procedure&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> It was found that psychological attitude influences attendance rate in screening mammography and the decision on further participation in screening programs&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">129</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">C&#193;NCER EN LA POBLACI&#211;N ANCIANA DE LA REGI&#211;N DE MURCIA</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Maria Dolores Chirlaque&#44; Carmen Navarro&#44; Miguel Rodr&#237;guez&#44; Jacinta Tortosa&#44; Isabel Valera&#44; Encarnaci&#243;n P&#225;rraga</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Servicio de Epidemiolog&#237;a&#44; Consejer&#237;a de Sanidad y Consumo de la Regi&#243;n de Murcia&#44; Murcia&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introducci&#243;n&#58;</span> La incidencia de c&#225;ncer en la poblaci&#243;n anciana rara vez es estudiada&#44; agrup&#225;ndose en mayores de 75 &#243; 85 a&#241;os&#46; La poblaci&#243;n mayor de 65 a&#241;os en la Regi&#243;n de Murcia registra un incremento del 11&#44;8&#37; al 14&#44;3&#37; en los censos de poblaci&#243;n de 1991 y 2001&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Objetivo&#58;</span> An&#225;lisis detallado de la incidencia de c&#225;ncer en los ancianos de la Regi&#243;n de Murcia&#44; y medici&#243;n de la exhaustividad y exactitud de la informaci&#243;n&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">M&#233;todos&#58;</span> Datos obtenidos del Registro de C&#225;ncer poblacional de la Regi&#243;n de Murcia&#46; Casos incidentes del periodo 1993-96&#46; La clasificaci&#243;n de los tumores utilizada es la CIE-10&#46; Incidencia por grupos de edad &#40;65&#44; 70&#44; 75&#44; 80&#44; 85&#44; 90&#44; 95&#44; 100 o m&#225;s&#41; en ambos sexos de las localizaciones tumorales m&#225;s frecuentes por 100&#46;000 habitantes&#46; La poblaci&#243;n se ha obtenido de una estimaci&#243;n intercensal de los censos de 1991 y 2001&#46; La exhaustividad se mide mediante el porcentaje de casos notificados a partir del certificado de defunci&#243;n&#44; la raz&#243;n mortalidad&#47;incidencia y el porcentaje de casos confirmados microsc&#243;picamente&#46; La exactitud de los datos es medida por el porcentaje de casos cuya &#250;nica fuente es el certificado de defunci&#243;n y casos cuya localizaci&#243;n primaria es desconocida&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> En hombres&#44; el c&#225;ncer de tr&#225;quea&#44; bronquios y pulm&#243;n presenta la mayor tasa en el grupo de 85-89 a&#241;os con 543 casos&#47;100&#46;000 hab&#44; al igual que el de colon &#40;331&#41;&#46; En el grupo de 90-94 a&#241;os alcanzan su mayor incidencia los tumores de pr&#243;stata &#40;792&#47;100&#46;000&#41;&#44; vejiga &#40;517&#41; y recto &#40;275&#41;&#46; En las mujeres&#44; el c&#225;ncer de cuerpo de &#250;tero presenta su mayor incidencia en el grupo de 60-79 a&#241;os &#40;oscilando de 62 a 73&#47;100&#46;000&#41;&#44; el de mama s&#243;lo supera la tasa de 200&#47;100&#46;000 en las mujeres de 70 a 74 a&#241;os y las localizaciones que presenta la mayor tasa a edades muy avanzadas son las de colon y vejiga&#46; El porcentaje de casos con verificaci&#243;n histol&#243;gica cae de 92&#37; en el grupo de 65-69 a&#241;os&#44; al 17&#37; en hombres y 31&#37; en mujeres en el grupo de 95-99 a&#241;os&#46; El porcentaje de casos notificados a partir del certificado de defunci&#243;n es muy elevado y mayor en hombres de 95-99 a&#241;os &#40;67&#37;&#41; que en mujeres &#40;50&#37;&#41;&#46; La raz&#243;n mortalidad&#47;incidencia aumenta de forma acusada en los grupos de mayor edad&#44; as&#237; como tambi&#233;n empeoran el resto de indicadores de calidad apreci&#225;ndose un agravamiento m&#225;s notable en los hombres en el grupo 80-84 a&#241;os y en las mujeres en el de 85-89&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> En los muy ancianos aumenta de forma acusada la incidencia de las localizaciones tumorales m&#225;s frecuentes&#44; principalmente en hombres&#44; a la vez que los indicadores de calidad muestran que la exhaustividad y la exactitud de los datos es bastante menor&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">130</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">CHANGE-POINTS IN COHORT AND PERIOD EFFECTS ON MORTALITY TRENDS FROM RENAL CANCER IN EUROPE</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Napole&#243;n P&#233;rez-Farin&#243;s&#44; Roberto Pastor-Barriuso&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente Ortega</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Centro Nacional de Epidemiolog&#237;a&#44; Instituto de Salud Carlos III&#44; Madrid&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Background&#58;</span> Recent studies from Europe have shown a global increase in age-adjusted mortality rates from renal cancer&#44; but time trends differ in their shapes among the different European countries&#46; Although age&#44; period&#44; and cohort analyses are useful to graphically display the effect of each individual component&#44; the visual identification of trend changes with this method is subjective&#46; The aim of this study is to formally detect and estimate change-points in cohort and period effects&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> Renal cancer deaths &#40;ICD-9 code 189&#41; and person-years at risk by sex and 5-year age groups were obtained from the WHO database&#46; Data were aggregated in 5-year periods from 1969 to 1999 according to the available data for each country&#46; The 15 European countries with complete series were grouped in 4 homogeneous regions&#58; Nordic &#40;Denmark&#44; Finland&#44; Norway&#44; Sweden&#41;&#44; Central-West &#40;Austria&#44; France&#44; Holland&#44; Ireland&#44; Switzerland&#44; United Kingdom&#41;&#44; East &#40;Bulgaria&#44; Hungary&#41;&#44; and South &#40;Greece&#44; Italy&#44; Spain&#41;&#46; Age- and country-adjusted log-linear Poisson models were fitted within each region to test for the existence of a change-point in cohort and period curvatures&#46; The model&#44; that was implemented in S-Plus&#44; consists of two intersecting linear trends with a smooth transition at an unknown change-point and it provides&#58; &#40;a&#41; the significance level of the test for the change-point&#44; &#40;b&#41; the estimate and 95&#37; CI for the location of the change-point&#44; and &#40;c&#41; the estimates and 95&#37; CIs for annual percentage changes in death rates below and above the estimated change-point&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> Among men&#44; significant changes in cohort and period effects were detected in Nordic&#44; Central-West and South regions &#40;P values &#60; 0&#46;001&#41;&#46; In the Nordic region&#44; the change-point was estimated in 1923 cohort &#40;95&#37; CI 1917 - 1935&#41;&#44; with a 0&#46;37&#37; annual increase below that cohort &#40;0&#46;04 - 0&#46;69&#37;&#41; and a 1&#46;94&#37; annual decrease above it &#40;1&#46;35 - 2&#46;52&#37;&#41;&#46; The annual increase was significantly attenuated from 3&#46;00&#37; below to 0&#46;64&#37; above 1909 cohort for the Central-West region&#44; and from 4&#46;29&#37; below to 0&#46;70&#37; above 1920 cohort for the South region&#46; In the East region&#44; no evidence of change-points in cohort and period effects was detected &#40;P values &#61; 1&#46;00&#41;&#44; with a net annual increase of 2&#46;69&#37; &#40;2&#46;22 - 3&#46;15&#37;&#41;&#46; Within each region&#44; patterns for period and cohort effects were consistent&#46; Time trends for women were fairly similar to those obtained among men&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Discussion&#58;</span> Our results show that&#44; for cohorts born after about 1920&#44; death rates from renal cancer have decreased or levelled off in most European countries&#44; except for those in the eastern region&#44; where the increasing trend continues&#46; Although several factors&#44; such as the development of new diagnostic tests&#44; may contribute to renal-cancer mortality trends&#44; our results suggest that smoking patterns may largely be responsible for the observed differences among European countries&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">131 ADVANCES ON THE STUDY OF SMALL AREA CANCER MORTALITY IN SPAIN</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Valent&#237;n Hern&#225;ndez&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente&#44; M&#46; Poll&#225;n&#44; N&#46; Aragon&#233;s&#44; B&#46; P&#233;rez-G&#243;mez</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#193;rea de Epidemiolog&#237;a Ambiental y C&#225;ncer&#44; Centro Nacional de Epidemiolog&#237;a&#44; Madrid&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> In geographical studies&#44; the choice of a large-sized administrative spatial unit &#40;such as provinces&#41; tends to dilute the pattern&#44; there being a tendency for differences in risk between smaller intra-provincial areas to be mutually offset&#46; The study of smaller-sized and more homogeneous areas &#40;e&#46;g&#46;&#44; towns&#41; can be useful as a technique for detecting underlying environmental problems&#46; Against this&#44; the choice of town as unit of analysis poses the problem of low numbers of cases&#44; and the use of classic indicators may yield unstable results&#46; The usefulness of smoothed estimators &#40;empirical Bayes&#44; full Bayes&#41; in such a situation has been acknowledged&#46; Our objective is to show the possibility to analyse the mortality pattern of all Spanish towns using a unique regression model&#44; thus obtaining a smoothed map&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> The study covered cancer deaths registered during the period 1989-1998 in Spain&#46; The number of expected deaths was calculated for each of the 8077 towns&#44; with the overall mortality for Spain by age group and sex taken as reference&#46; Person-years were computed on the basis of the 1991 and 1996 census by sex and five-year age groups&#46; In order to obtain a smoothed image of the municipal mortality&#44; we fitted Poisson spatial models&#44; which included two random effects terms&#58; a&#41; municipal contiguity &#40;spatial term&#41;&#59; and b&#41; municipal heterogeneity&#46; These models belong to the so-called conditional autoregressive &#40;CAR&#41; models for disease mapping&#44; initially proposed by Besag&#44; York and Molli&#233;&#46; The models were fitted using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods with non-informative priors with the WinBugs software&#46; Adjacency of municipal boundaries were employed as criterion of contiguity&#46; Parameter of goodness of fit were calculated and convergence diagnostics were conducted on a sample of towns of different population sizes using tests included in the library CODA for R&#46; Mortality map for emerging tumours &#40;myeloma&#43;non-hodgkin lymphomas&#41; that share some chemical&#47;physical risk factors is shown to illustrate the procedure&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> It has been possible to compile and to obtain the posterior distribution of the relative risk from an unique spatial model including the 8077 Spanish towns and the corresponding 47916 adjacencies&#44; investing affordable computing times&#46; The map shows a diffuse pattern with some areas of apparently higher mortality&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> This strategy presents important advantages as&#58; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">1&#41;</span> their high spatial resolution&#44; which might be useful for environmental surveillance purposes in some cancer locations&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic"> 2&#41;</span> the decrease of edge effect problems&#44; present in atlases bounded to a province or an autonomous region and&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">3&#41;</span> the efficiency of the method&#46; More research is necessary to solve problems as the excess of zeros and the selection of priors and contiguity criteria&#46;</p>"
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    "titulo" => "P&#242;sters &#58; C&#225;ncer"
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    "textoCompleto" => "<p class="elsevierStylePara"> Jueves 2 de Octubre &#47; Thursday 2&#44; October<br></br> 17&#58;00&#58;00 a&#47;to 18&#58;00&#58;00</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">111</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">FACTORES QUE DETERMINAN EL USO DEL PAPANICOLAOU EN MUJERES MEXICANAS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Rosa Mar&#237;a Ortiz Espinosa&#42;&#44; Sergio Mu&#241;oz Ju&#225;rez&#42;&#44; Socorro M&#225;rquez Maldonado&#42;&#42;&#44; Maria de los Angeles Moron Arella&#241;o&#42;&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Coordinaci&#243;n de Investigaci&#243;n&#44; Secretaria de Salud de Hidalgo&#44; Pachuca&#44; M&#233;xico&#46; &#42;&#42;Direcci&#243;n de Regulaci&#243;n Sanitaria&#44; Secretaria de Salud&#44; Pachuca&#44; M&#233;xico&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Antecedentes</span>&#58; El c&#225;ncer cervicouterino es la neoplasia m&#225;s frecuente en mujeres mexicanas y en Latinoam&#233;rica&#46; En M&#233;xico existe un programa poblacional desde hace 20 a&#241;os&#44; no obstante la mortalidad por esta causa continua siendo constante&#46; Existen factores relacionados con la cobertura y accesibilidad del servicio que influyen en la detecci&#243;n y tratamiento oportuno&#44; pero adem&#225;s se encuentran los relacionados con la aceptabilidad&#44; la tendencia e intensidad de uso del Papanicolaou &#40;PAP&#41; por parte de la poblaci&#243;n&#44; que influyen en la decisi&#243;n de no hacerse el PAP&#46; En el &#225;rea rural&#44; las posibilidades que tiene la mujer para decidir sobre su vida sexual y su auto cuidado son&#44; con frecuencia limitadas&#44; la capacidad general para negociar con &#233;xito las necesidades en torno a la salud de su propio organismo son limitadas&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Objetivo&#58;</span> Identificar los factores que determinan el uso del PAP&#46; Material y m&#233;todos&#58; Se realiz&#243; un dise&#241;o transversal anal&#237;tico y comparativo&#46; Se aplic&#243; una entrevista estructurada a usuarios de 15 a 49 a&#241;os&#44; de las unidades de primer nivel&#44; seleccionados aleatoriamente&#46; Se utiliz&#243; estad&#237;stica descriptiva&#44; Ji cuadrada y Regresi&#243;n log&#237;stica no condicional&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> Se encontr&#243; que el 31&#44;22&#37; de los encuestados desconoc&#237;an el PAP y su funci&#243;n&#44; de este grupo&#44; el 82&#46;5&#37; nunca se la hab&#237;an hecho&#46; La mayor proporci&#243;n de desconocimiento se observo en los hombres en comparaci&#243;n con las mujeres &#40;45&#37; vs 15&#44;49&#37;&#41;&#44; el desconocimiento en los usuarios analfabetos fue 33&#44;1&#37; y de 44&#44;3&#37; en los residentes de municipios de mayor marginaci&#243;n&#46; Cuatro de cada diez varones lo desconocen&#44; y en las mujeres dos de cada diez &#40;P &#61; 0&#44;004&#41;&#46; El 46&#37; de los usuarios ignoran los factores de riesgo asociados a cacu&#46; En las usuarias que refirieron nunca haberse efectuado un PAP&#44; las principales causas fueron&#44; porque no lo consideran necesario Raz&#243;n de Momios &#40;RM&#41; crudo de 2&#44;5 con intervalos de confianza &#40;IC&#41; de 95&#37;&#58; 1&#44;3 a 4&#46;8&#44; el personal no me da confianza RM 4&#44;1 IC 95&#37; 1&#44;3 a 12&#44;3&#46; El conocimiento del c&#225;ncer cervico uterino &#40;CaCu&#41; y el saber que es curable fue diferente&#44; en las alguna vez usuarias del Pap y aquellas nunca usuarias&#40;P &#61; 0&#46;000&#41;&#44; as&#237; como el conocimiento de la prevenci&#243;n del cacu &#40;P &#61; 0&#46;00&#41;&#46; Las variables asociadas a la demanda del PAP fueron el desconocimiento del CaCu Raz&#243;n de Momios &#40;RM&#41; 3&#44;6 IC al 95&#37; &#40;1&#46;7 a 7&#46;7&#41;&#44; desconocer que se puede evitar RM 1&#44;71 IC &#40;1&#46;19&#44;2&#46;4&#41;&#44; desconocimiento que es curable RM 3&#44;36 IC &#40;1&#46;8&#44;6&#46;2&#41; y ser analfabeta RM 4&#46;24 IC &#40;2&#46;1&#44;8&#46;3&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> El conocimiento previo de la neoplasia&#44; y el saber que es curable son factores primordiales que se deben de incluir en las acciones de informaci&#243;n&#44; educaci&#243;n y comunicaci&#243;n &#40;IEC&#41; de los programas de prevenci&#243;n y destacar la necesidad de dise&#241;ar estrategias donde se difunda los ben&#233;ficos del PAP&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">112</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">SMOKING&#44; ALCOHOL&#44; AND DENTITION IN THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF ORAL CANCER IN POLAND</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Jolanta Lissowska&#42;&#44; Agnieszka Pilarska&#42;&#42;&#44; Pawel Pilarski&#42;&#42;&#44; Danuta Samolczyk-Wanyura&#42;&#42;&#44; Janusz Piekarczyk&#42;&#42;&#44; Alicja Bardin-Mikolajczak&#42;&#44; Witold Zatonski&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Dept&#46; of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention&#44; Cancer Center &#38; M Sklodowska-Curie Institute of Oncology&#44; Warsaw&#44; Poland&#46; &#42;&#42;2 2nd Maxillofacial Surgery Clinic&#44; Medical Academy&#44; Warsaw&#44; Poland&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> The role of smoking&#44; drinking&#44; and dental care on the risk of oral and pharyngeal cancer was investigated in a case-control study conducted in Warsaw&#44; Poland&#46; Cases were 122 patients &#40;including 44 females&#41; aged 23-80 years with incident&#44; histologically confirmed cancer of oral cavity and pharynx&#46; Controls were 124 subjects &#40;including 52 females&#41; admitted to the hospital for different non-neoplastic conditions unrelated to tobacco and alcohol consumption&#44; frequency matched to cases by age and sex&#46; Smoking and drinking were strongly associated with an increased risk of oral cancer&#46; Among consumers of both products&#44; risks of oral cancer tended to combine in a multiplicative fashion and were increased more than 14-fold among those who consumed more than 15 cigarettes and 7 or more drinks per day&#46; Cessation of smoking was associated with reduced risk of this cancer&#46; The risks varied by type of cigarettes smoked&#44; being lower among those consuming filtered cigarettes only &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;6&#41; than non-filter &#40;OR&#61;6&#46;5&#41; or mixed &#40;OR&#61;4&#46;2&#41; cigarettes&#46; After adjustment for tobacco smoking and alcohol drinking&#44; poor dentition as reflected by missing teeth&#44; frequency of dental check-ups and frequency of teeth brushing emerged as a strong risk factors&#46; Number of missing teeth and frequency of dental check-ups and frequency of tooth brushing showed increased ORs of 9&#46;8&#44; 11&#46;9 and 3&#46;2 respectively&#46; Denture wearing per se did not affect oral cancer risk&#46; In terms of attributable risk&#44; smoking accounted for 57&#37; of oral cancer cases in Poland&#44; alcohol for 31&#37;&#46; Attributable risks for low frequency of tooth brushing and dental check-ups were 56&#37; and 47&#37; respectively&#46; In conclusion&#44; smoking and drinking cessation are likely to be effective preventive measures against oral cancer&#46; These findings indicate also that poor oral hygiene may be independent risk factor&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">113</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">DECLINING MORTALITY RATES FOR NONMELANOMA SKIN CANCERS IN WEST GERMANY&#44; 1968 THROUGH 1999&#46; AN ANALYSIS OF 11&#46;226 NONMELANOMA SKIN CANCER DEATHS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Andreas Stang&#44; Karl-Heinz J&#246;ckel</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Epidemiology Unit&#44; Medical Faculaty&#44; University of Essen&#44; Essen&#44; Germany&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Purpose&#58;</span> Since the primary source of data for cancer registries is the inpatient hospital file&#44; routinely collected statistics on nonmelanoma skin cancer &#40;NMSC&#41; are usually incomplete and not comparable with other forms of cancer&#46; We therefore examined time trends of the nonmelanoma skin cancer mortality for the territory of West-Germany including a population of about 66 million people&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> We analysed the nonmelanocytic skin cancer mortality data &#40;1968-1999&#41; from West-Germany including West-Berlin&#46; We calculated age-specific and age-standardized mortality rates &#40;World Standard Population&#41; and used Poisson regression to estimate underlying age&#44; cohort and period effect&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> From 1968 &#40;population size of the territory of the Federal State of Germany before the reunification&#58; 60&#46;0 million&#41; through 1999 &#40;population size&#58; 66&#46;9 million&#41;&#44; about 11&#46;226 deaths were attributed to NMSC&#46; The NMSC mortality was greater among men than among women throughout the period studied&#46; The estimated percent annual decrease of the age-standardized nonmelanocytic skin cancer mortality rate was -2&#46;3&#37; &#40;95&#37;CI -2&#46;6&#59; -1&#46;9&#41; among men and -3&#46;5&#37; &#40;95&#37;CI&#58; -4&#46;0&#59; -3&#46;1&#41; among women during the period 1968 through 1999&#46; This decline is mainly due to a rate decrease in people aged 80 years or more&#46; The age-specific estimated annual percent changes of the NMSC mortality rates indicate that the greater decline among women is mainly due to a greater rate decrease in women aged 80 years or more&#46; The change in nonmelanoma skin cancer mortality rates was best explained by age-&#44; cohort- and period effects&#46; The age-specific proportions of skin cancer deaths attributed to NMSC declined in people aged 50 year or more from 1968 through 1999&#46; In the early period from 1968 through 1979&#44; about 58&#37; of the male skin cancer deaths and 61&#37; of the female skin cancer deaths in people age 80 years or more were attributed to NSMC&#46; These proportions declined to 33&#37; and 29&#37;&#44; respectively in the latest period from 1990 through 1999&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> The nonmelanoma skin cancer mortality in West-Germany showed a continuous decrease from 1968 through 1999&#46; The favourable mortality decline by birth cohort in the most recent birth cohort is an important indicator of a likely decline in mortality over the next years&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">114</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">POLYMORPHISMS G691S &#47; S904S OF RET AS GENETIC MODIFIERS IN CANCER PATIENTS FROM FAMILIES WITH MULTIPLE ENDOCRINE NEOPLASIA TYPE 2A</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Marina Poll&#225;n<span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>&#44; Mercedes Robledo<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Laura Gil<span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>&#44; Arancha Cebri&#225;n<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Sergio Ruiz<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Marta Aza&#241;edo<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Javier Ben&#237;tez<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Javier Men&#225;rguez<span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span>&#44; Jose Mar&#237;a Rojas<span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>&#193;rea de Epidemiolog&#237;a Ambiental y C&#225;ncer&#44; Centro Nacional de Epidemiolog&#237;a del ISCIII&#46;&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>Unidad de Gen&#233;tica&#44; Centro Nacional de Investigaciones Oncol&#243;gicas &#40;CNIO&#41;&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>Unidad de Biolog&#237;a Celular&#44; Centro Nacional de Microbiolog&#237;a del ISCIII&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup"> 4</span>Unidad de Anatom&#237;a Patol&#243;gica&#44; Hospital Gregorio Mara&#241;&#243;n&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Multiple endocrine neoplasia type 2A &#40;MEN2A&#41; is associated with specific germline missense mutations in the RET proto-oncogene&#46; It is an autosomal dominant trait with high penetrance and variable clinical expression&#46; Medullary thyroid carcinoma is the main clinical feature&#44; but&#46; there are variations&#44; even between members of the same family&#44; regarding the disease onset and its presentation&#46; Our objective was to explore whether two associated RET polymorphisms&#44; G691S and S904S&#44; could have any influence on the clinical form and the age at onset of the disease&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> G691S &#40;exon 11&#41; and S904S &#40;TCC-TCG&#44; exon 15&#41; polymorphisms of RET were analyzed in 198 individuals corresponding to 35 unrelated Spanish MEN2A families &#40;104 patients with oncogenic MEN 2A mutation and 94 healthy relatives&#41; and in a control population of 653 healthy individuals by amplification and sequencing analysis&#46; In all cases&#44; both polymorphisms co-segregated and were considered as a single variable in subsequent analyses&#46; The prevalence of G691S&#47;S904S polymorphisms was compared in MEN2A cases and their healthy relatives using the corrected Pearson&#39;s chi-square test allowing for correlation between members of the same family&#46; In the same way&#44; a possible correlation among cases between these polymorphisms and type of clinical presentation was assessed&#46; The relationship between G691S&#47;S904S polymorphisms and age at diagnosis in MEN2A patients was investigated considering &#34;age&#34; as a continuous variable and also as a dichotomous one&#44; taking 20 years as the cut-off&#46; Differences across G691S&#47;S904S groups were quantified using linear regression and logistic regression&#46; In both instances&#44; robust estimators of variance were used&#44; clustered in families&#46; The same analysis was restricted to index cases or probands&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> The studied polymorphisms followed Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium in the control population&#46; Among cases&#44; they were not related with the type of clinical presentation&#44; but homozygous were&#44; on average&#44; ten years younger when they were diagnosed &#40;p &#61; 0&#46;037&#41;&#46; In fact&#44; homozygous had an 8-fold probability to be diagnosed at an age before 20 &#40;p &#61; 0&#46;010&#41;&#46; Obviously&#44; these results could be biased given that the clinical diagnosis for some members of the same family may be conditioned on the time of diagnosis of the corresponding proband&#46; However&#44; when we focused specifically on index cases&#44; the association between age at onset and homozygote G691S &#47; S904S genotype persisted &#40;p &#60; 0&#46;001&#41;&#44; and the OR for being diagnosed before 20 was even stronger &#40;OR &#61; 19&#46;3&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusion&#58;</span> These results suggest that the presence of the RET polymorphisms G691S&#47;S904S seems to act as a genetic modifier causing an early appearance of the disease in MEN2A patients&#46; They could be used as markers in asymptomatic children of MEN2A families guiding time of surgical preventive resection&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">115</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">GASTRIC CANCER MORTALITY TRENDS BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREA IN SPAIN&#44; 1975-2000</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Nuria Aragon&#233;s&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente&#44; Marina Poll&#225;n&#44; Beatriz P&#233;rez-G&#243;mez&#44; Valent&#237;n Hern&#225;ndez&#44; Mario C&#225;rdaba&#44; Berta Su&#225;rez&#44; Alicia Estirado</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Centro Nacional de Epidemiolog&#237;a&#44; Instituto de Salud Carlos III&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Though gastric cancer mortality has been declining during the last decades in Spain&#44; its evolution might have not been uniform across the country&#46; The objective of this analysis is to describe gastric cancer mortality trends by sex and geographical area in Spain&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material and methods&#58;</span> Both mortality and population data were obtained from the National Statistics Institute&#46; During the study period&#44; three revisions of the International Classification of Diseases were used &#40;8th&#44; 9th and 10th&#41;&#46; According to it&#44; 151-code was considered from 1975 to 1998 &#40;8th-9thICD&#41; and C16-code from 1999 to 2000 &#40;10thICD&#41;&#46; Individual records broken down by sex&#44; age group&#44; year of death and province of residence were used to compute age-adjusted mortality rates &#40;European standard population&#41; by sex&#44; year&#44; and Autonomous Community&#46; Joinpoint regression analysis was used to detect changes in trends from 1975 to 2000&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> In men&#44; Spain had an overall annual reduction of 3&#37; in gastric cancer mortality from 1975 to 2000&#46; Rates decreased a 4&#46;57&#37; per year until 1982&#44; where the speed of this decline was significantly reduced to 2&#46;56&#37;&#46; In women&#44; the same phenomenon was observed&#58; gastric cancer mortality rates decreased 3&#46;84&#37; per year from 1975-2000&#44; although rates descended a 5&#46;95&#37; each year until 1980&#44; where the fall in mortality slowed down to a 3&#46;51&#37;&#46; Among Autonomous Communities&#44; joinpoint regression analysis did not detect significant changes in trends for most of them neither in men nor in women&#46; There are&#44; however&#44; Autonomous Communities where gastric cancer rates for men stopped decreasing or even increased in recent years&#44; as Asturias&#44; Cantabria or Murcia&#46; When studying age groups from 35-64 and 65&#43;&#44; results were quite similar&#44; with annual changes in both sexes around -3&#46;0 and a statistically significant variation in trend around the early 80&#39;s in both age groups&#46; This similarity in trends among different age groups points toward a homogeneous cohort effect for successive generations&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> Gastric cancer mortality rates fell down in Spain from 1975 to 2000&#46; There is a significant steady decline from 1975 to the early 80&#39;s followed by a less accentuated reduction afterwards&#46; This general pattern of decrease could be observed in men and women of different age groups in most geographical areas&#46; There were nevertheless important differences in the magnitude of rates among geographical areas which persisted until recent years&#44; although these differences between Autonomous Communities tended to diminish along time&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">116</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">PREVALENCIA DE VPH Y OTROS FACTORES DE RIESGO PARA LESIONES NEOPL&#193;SICAS PREINVASORAS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Mireia Diaz Sanchis&#42;&#44; &#192;ngela Twose L&#225;zaro&#42;&#44; Jordi Ponce Sebasti&#224;&#42;&#42;&#44; M&#46; Dolores Mart&#237; Cardona&#42;&#42;&#44; Silvia de Sanjose Llongueres&#42;&#44; F&#46; Xavier Bosch i Jos&#233;&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Servicio de Epidemiolog&#237;a y Registro del C&#225;ncer&#44; Institut Catal&#224; d&#39;Oncologia&#44; Hospitalet de Llobregat&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;Servicio de Ginecolog&#237;a&#44; Patolog&#237;a Cervical y Colposcop&#237;a&#44; Ciudad Sanitaria y Universitaria de Bellvitge&#44; Hospitalet de Llobregat&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introducci&#243;n&#58;</span> Las cl&#237;nicas de colposcop&#237;a asociadas a programas de cribaje reciben pacientes remitidas por un espectro de diagn&#243;sticos citol&#243;gicos con variabilidad de lectura importante&#46; La determinaci&#243;n del ADN de VPH puede contribuir a clarificar el pron&#243;stico de las lesiones ambiguas &#40;ASCUS&#41; y quiz&#225;s de las lesiones de bajo grado &#40;LSIL&#41;&#46; Los factores de riesgo convencionales de las lesiones preinvasoras tienen un bajo poder discriminatorio y escasa utilidad pron&#243;stica y de control cl&#237;nico&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">M&#233;todos&#58;</span> Se ha realizado un estudio caso-control entre las mujeres remitidas a una Unidad de Patolog&#237;a Cervical y Colposcop&#237;a por citolog&#237;a de cribado patol&#243;gica &#40;ASCUS&#44; LSIL&#44; HSIL&#41;&#46; A todas las mujeres se les realiz&#243; una entrevista epidemiol&#243;gica sobre factores de riesgo para neoplasia cervical&#44; una citolog&#237;a y biopsia de verificaci&#243;n y se obtuvo una muestra cervical para la determinaci&#243;n de VPH de alto riego mediante Captura de H&#237;bridos II&#46; En el an&#225;lisis estad&#237;stico se compararon mujeres con lesiones intraepiteliales de bajo y alto grado versus mujeres con lesiones de significado indeterminado mediante modelos de regresi&#243;n log&#237;stica polit&#243;mica&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> Hasta el momento se han reclutado 375 mujeres con citolog&#237;a de cribado patol&#243;gica distribuidas en ASCUS 18&#46;1&#37;&#44; lesi&#243;n intraepitelial de bajo grado &#40;LSIL&#41; 45&#44;1&#37; y lesi&#243;n intraepitelial de alto grado &#40;HSIL&#41; 36&#44;8&#37;&#46; El determinante mayor de las lesiones de bajo y alto grado versus lesiones ASCUS es la presencia de VPH HR&#44; la prevalencia es de 21&#44;5&#37; para las mujeres con ASCUS&#44; 44&#44;0&#37; para LSIL &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">LSIL</span> &#61; 2&#44;4 &#40;1&#44;2-4&#44;8&#41;&#41; y 81&#44;8&#37; para HSIL &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 15&#44;3 &#40;7&#44;2-32&#44;7&#41;&#41;&#46; Se detecta un aumento de riesgo asociado a haber tenido 4 o m&#225;s compa&#241;eros sexuales &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">LSIL</span> &#61; 3&#44;3 &#40;1&#44;2-9&#44;2&#41;&#59; OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 5&#44;0 &#40;1&#44;7-14&#44;4&#41;&#41; y al consumo de tabaco &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">LSIL</span> &#61; 2&#44;6 &#40;1&#44;3-5&#44;6&#41;&#59; OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 3&#44;6 &#40;1&#44;6-8&#44;1&#41;&#41;&#46; Aparece un efecto protector con 3 o m&#225;s partos &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">LSIL</span> &#61; 0&#44;2 &#40;0&#44;1-0&#44;8&#41;&#59; OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 0&#44;2 &#40;0&#44;1-0&#44;9&#41;&#41;&#46; Solamente para HSIL&#44; se halla riesgo asociado a haber tenido relaciones sexuales con compa&#241;eros casuales &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 3&#44;0 &#40;1&#44;3-6&#44;9&#41;&#41; y un efecto protector con el uso de preservativos &#40;OR<span class="elsevierStyleInf">HSIL</span> &#61; 0&#44;5 &#40;0&#44;2-0&#44;9&#41;&#41;&#46; Ajustando por VPH desaparece el efecto del n&#250;mero de relaciones sexuales y el uso de preservativo&#44; pero se mantienen el consumo de tabaco&#44; el n&#250;mero de partos y para HSIL&#44; las relaciones sexuales con compa&#241;eros casuales&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> La prevalencia de ADN de VPH en lesiones citol&#243;gicas es sensiblemente distinta a la encontrada en estudios realizados en otras poblaciones y que se han establecido como referencia internacional&#46; Por ejemplo&#44; el estudio ALTS<span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#42;</span> describe ADN de VPH en 50&#37; de los ASCUS y en 80&#37; de las lesiones LSIL&#44; indicando la variabilidad y la especificidad local en la lectura de la citolog&#237;a&#46; Los resultados de referencia en estudios de triaje deben interpretarse en relaci&#243;n a las caracter&#237;sticas de los diagn&#243;sticos citol&#243;gicos locales&#46; La introducci&#243;n del test de VPH en cl&#237;nicas de colposcop&#237;a puede ayudar a establecer el pron&#243;stico y la conducta terap&#233;utica con mayor precisi&#243;n que la investigaci&#243;n sobre factores de riesgo de la paciente&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#42;</span>J Natl Cancer Inst&#59;92&#58;397-402</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">117</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">AN&#193;LISIS DE LA VARIACI&#211;N GEOGR&#193;FICA DE LA MORTALIDAD POR C&#193;NCER DE EST&#211;MAGO EN GALICIA</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Elisa Mar&#237;a Molanes&#44; M&#170; Eugenia Lado</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Servicio de informaci&#243;n sobre Sa&#250;de P&#250;blica&#44; Conseller&#237;a de Sanidade&#44; Santiago de Compostela&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introducci&#243;n&#58;</span> En los &#250;ltimos a&#241;os&#44; han surgido diferentes m&#233;todos estad&#237;sticos para estimar y suavizar las razones de mortalidad est&#225;ndar &#40;RME&#41;&#44; y poder as&#237; realizar comparaciones m&#225;s fiables del estado de salud de diferentes &#225;reas geogr&#225;ficas&#46; Los principales objetivos de este estudio son&#58; &#40;1&#41; aplicar un &#34;nuevo&#34; m&#233;todo bayesiano no param&#233;trico de suavizado de tasas y &#40;2&#41; comparar los resultados con los obtenidos al aplicar el modelo cl&#225;sico de Besag&#44; York y Molli&#233; &#40;modelo de convoluci&#243;n&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">M&#233;todos&#58;</span> Para llevar a cabo este estudio se obtuvieron del Registro de Mortalidad de Galicia&#44; los datos de mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de est&#243;mago &#40;CIE-9 151 y CIE-10 C16&#41; de la poblaci&#243;n masculina de Galicia en el per&#237;odo 1995-1999&#46; Se utilizaron las poblaciones a 1 de enero para cada a&#241;o&#44; municipio y grupo quinquenal de edad&#44; y como poblaci&#243;n est&#225;ndar se consider&#243; la poblaci&#243;n gallega en el per&#237;odo de estudio&#46; Con estos datos se calcularon las RME crudas y se estimaron las RME con ambos modelos&#46; Para ajustar el modelo bayesiano no param&#233;trico se utiliz&#243; el software BDCD y para el modelo de convoluci&#243;n el WinBUGS&#46; Para cada m&#233;todo se representaron geogr&#225;ficamente las estimaciones de las RME obtenidas para cada municipio&#44; as&#237; como su significaci&#243;n estad&#237;stica&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> La distribuci&#243;n espacial de las RME crudas no define claramente ninguna zona de riesgo de mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de est&#243;mago&#46; En el mapa obtenido con el modelo bayesiano no param&#233;trico se detect&#243; como zona con mayor riesgo de mortalidad toda la zona occidental de Galicia y la zona centro de la provincia de Lugo&#46; Sin embargo&#44; al estudiar su significaci&#243;n estad&#237;stica &#250;nicamente se mantuvo como &#225;rea de alto riesgo parte de la zona occidental de Galicia&#46; En lo que se refiere al mapa basado en el modelo de convoluci&#243;n&#44; se detect&#243; como &#250;nica zona de riesgo la parte occidental de Galicia y&#44; asimismo&#44; s&#243;lo una parte de ella se mantuvo como &#225;rea de riesgo en su mapa de significaci&#243;n&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> De este estudio se concluye que los mapas que representan las RME estimadas son menos ruidosos que el que representa las RME crudas y que ambos modelos coinciden en detectar como zona de mayor riesgo de mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de est&#243;mago la costa occidental de Galicia&#46; Aunque los resultados obtenidos son muy similares&#44; el modelo bayesiano no param&#233;trico se muestra m&#225;s adecuado que el modelo de convoluci&#243;n para la representaci&#243;n geogr&#225;fica del mapa de riesgos de &#225;reas peque&#241;as&#44; ya que adem&#225;s de suavizar el valor de las RME en cada &#225;rea permite detectar discontinuidades en el mapa&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">118</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">INCIDENCIA Y SUPERVIVENCIA RELATIVA DE LOS LINFOMAS NO HODGKIN EN GIRONA 1994-1999</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Rafael Marcos Gragera&#42;&#44; &#192;ngel Izquierdo Font&#42;&#44; Cristalina Fern&#225;ndez Fidalgo&#42;&#42;&#44; Santiago Gardella&#42;&#42;&#44; M&#170; Loreto Vilardell Gil&#42;&#44; Maria Bux&#243; Pujolr&#224;s&#42;&#44; Pau Viladiu Quemada&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Unitat d&#39;Epidemiologia i Registre de C&#224;ncer de Girona&#44; Institut Catal&#224; d&#39;Oncologia de Girona&#44; Girona&#44; Spain&#46; &#42;&#42;Servei d&#39;Hematologia&#44; Instiut Catal&#224; d&#39;Oncologia de Girona&#44; Girona&#44; Spain&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Objetivo&#58;</span> Conocer la incidencia y supervivencia relativa poblacional de los linfomas no Hodgkin &#40;LNH&#41; en Girona&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material y m&#233;todos&#58;</span> A partir de los datos obtenidos por el Registro poblacional de C&#225;ncer de Girona&#44; se analiz&#243; la incidencia y supervivencia de los linfomas no Hodgkin en la Regi&#243;n Sanitaria Girona &#40;RSG&#41;&#46; La poblaci&#243;n cubierta por el registro seg&#250;n el censo de 1996 fue de 518&#46;531 habitantes&#46; Se calculan las tasas de incidencia brutas &#40;T&#46;B&#41; y ajustadas &#40;T&#46;Aj&#41; a la poblaci&#243;n est&#225;ndar mundial&#46; Para el c&#225;lculo de la supervivencia se hizo un seguimiento de los pacientes hasta 12&#46; 1999&#46; Se calcul&#243; la supervivencia relativa&#44; tasa entre la supervivencia observada y la esperada&#44; calculada &#233;sta en funci&#243;n de la mortalidad de la poblaci&#243;n de Girona&#46; Se utiliz&#243; el m&#233;todo de Est&#232;ve&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><img src="138v17nSupl.2-13051580tab01.gif"></img></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><img src="138v17nSupl.2-13051580tab02.gif"></img></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> En la RSG los linfomas no Hodgkin ocupan el s&#233;ptimo lugar en orden de frecuencia&#44; tanto hombres como en mujeres&#46; La incidencia de los LNH es mas alta en los hombres&#46; Cuando comparamos con las cifras de incidencia obtenidas en el resto de registros espa&#241;oles &#40;EUROCIM&#44; ENCR&#41; observamos&#44; en el caso de los hombres&#44; una incidencia estad&#237;sticamente superior de los LNH en la RSG&#46; A nivel internacional la incidencia de los LNH en la RSG es situar&#237;a a un nivel intermedio - alto&#46; &#40;Cancer Incidence in Five Continents VII&#44; 1997&#41;&#46; La SR de los LNH es similar a la que se da en el resto de registros espa&#241;oles&#44; europeos y americanos &#40;EUCAN&#44; 1997&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">119</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">LUNG CANCER MORTALITY TRENDS BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS IN SPAIN&#46; 1975-2000</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Mario C&#225;rdaba&#44; Nuria Aragon&#233;s&#44; Marina Poll&#225;n&#44; Beatr&#237;z P&#233;rez&#44; Berta Su&#225;rez&#44; Alicia Estirado&#44; Valent&#237;n Hern&#225;ndez&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Epidemiolog&#237;a Ambiental y C&#225;ncer&#44; Instituto de Salud Carlos III&#44; Madrid&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Lung cancer mortality has been declining since 1990s in Europe&#46; Spain presents a delayed pattern due to its different phase of tobacco epidemic&#46; The aim of this analysis is to describe lung cancer mortality trends by sex&#44; age and geographical area in Spain&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material and methods&#58;</span> Lung cancer mortality &#40;International Classification of Diseases &#40;ICD&#41;8th&#58;-9th&#58;162&#59; ICD-10th&#58;C34&#41; and population data were obtained from the National Statistics Institute&#46; Individual records broken down by sex&#44; age&#44; year of death and province of residence were used to compute age-adjusted and age-adjusted truncated &#40;35-64&#41; rates &#40;European standard population&#41; by sex&#44; year&#44; and Autonomous Community&#46; Joinpoint regression analysis was used to detect changes in trends between 1975-2000&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> Age-adjusted rates for Spanish males showed an annual percent of change&#40;APC&#41; for 1975-2000 of 2&#46;11&#37;&#46; However&#44; joinpoint analysis detected changes in trends in 1988 and 1994 &#40;1975-1988 APC&#58;3&#46;54&#37;&#59; 1988-1994&#58;1&#46;58&#37;&#59; 1994-2000&#58; -0&#46;35&#37;&#41;&#46; Truncated rates showed an increase of 2&#46;05&#37; between 1975-200&#44; although rates increased a 3&#46;3&#37; per year until 1990 and reached a plateau since&#46; Among regions&#44; global rates show a positive APC for period 1975-2000 ranging from 0&#46;6&#37; in Cantabria up to 3&#46;52&#37; in Castile-La Mancha&#46; Truncated rates follow a similar homogeneous pattern&#46; Joinpoint analysis detected significant changes in trends in late 1980s or early 1990s&#44; changing from a clear increase to smooth increments&#44; plateaus or even a decline in rates afterwards&#46; Spanish females&#44; for global rates&#44; showed an annual increase of 0&#46;47&#37; between 1975-2000&#46;Nevertheless&#44; joinpoint analysis detected a change in trend in 1990&#44; moving from an annual decrease of -0&#46;71&#37; to an increase of 2&#46;39&#37;&#46; Truncated rates presented an increase of 1&#46;15&#37; for period 1975-2000&#44; but again an acute change in trend turns up in 1990&#44; when APC shifted sharply from -1&#46;43&#37; to 5&#46;38&#37; annually&#46; Among regions&#44; global rates between 1975-2000 seem irregular&#46; Some suggest a rising slope &#40;Balearic Islands&#58;1&#46;53&#37;&#59; Madrid&#58;2&#46;52&#37;&#59; Basque Country&#58;1&#46;87&#37;&#41;&#46; Others show a minimal increase&#40;Catalonia&#58; 0&#46;09&#37;&#59; Castile-Leon&#58; 0&#46;24&#37;&#41; or even a decline &#40;Extremadura&#58; -1&#46;75&#37;&#44; La Rioja&#58; -1&#46;24&#37;&#44; Aragon&#58;-0&#46;65&#37;&#41;&#46; Truncated rates exhibit a similar pattern though in general increases are greater&#46; Joinpoint analysis detected changes in global and truncated rates&#46; Some regions imitate the nationwide pattern of decrease-increase while others do not&#46; These changes came about in late 1980s or middle 1990s and are sharper in truncated rates&#46; However&#44; Extremadura and Castile-La Mancha present a continuous decline between 1975-2000&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> While time trends in lung cancer mortality in men are levelling off since 1990s&#44; in females they are increasing sharply&#44; specially in 35-64 age group&#44; pointing to the beginning of the epidemic phenomenon of lung cancer in women that is affecting to cohorts born after 1940&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">120</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">FEMALE BREAST CANCER MORTALITY TRENDS BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS IN SPAIN&#46; 1975-2000</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Berta Su&#225;rez&#44; Nuria Aragon&#233;s&#44; Marina Poll&#225;n&#44; Beatriz P&#233;rez-G&#243;mez&#44; Mario C&#225;rdaba&#44; Alicia Estirado&#44; Valent&#237;n Hern&#225;ndez&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Centro Nacional de Epidemiolog&#237;a&#44; Instituto de Salud Carlos III&#44; Madrid&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Breast cancer is the commonest malignancy in women in Spain&#46; Though mortality rates have decreased during the last decade&#44; within the country each region has had a different pattern of mortality&#46; The objective of this investigation is to describe female breast cancer mortality trends by geographical area in Spain&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material and methods&#58;</span> Female breast cancer mortality &#40;International Classification of Diseases &#40;ICD 8th-9th&#58;174&#59; ICD-10th&#58;C50&#41; and population data were obtained from the National Statistics Institute&#46; Individual records broken down by age group&#44; year of death and province of residence were used to compute age-adjusted mortality rates &#40;European Standard population&#41; and age-adjusted truncated rates &#40;35-64 years&#41; by year and by periods of five years for each Autonomous Community&#40;AC&#41; and for Spain as a whole&#46; Joinpoint regression analysis was used to detect statistically significant changes in trends from 1975 to 2000&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> In Spain&#44; age-adjusted mortality rates increased until the 1991-1995 period&#46; Joinpoint analysis detected the change in trend in 1991&#58; while the annual increase until this year was 2&#46;41&#37;&#44; rates begun to decline since &#40;-1&#46;75&#37;&#41;&#46; Truncated rates had a quite similar evolution&#44; though in this case the annual decrease from 1992 onwards was bigger &#40;-3&#46;33&#37;&#41;&#46; This initial increase in rates&#44; followed by a descending trend&#44; was found across the whole country&#44; excepting Cantabria where mortality rates had a continuous light increase&#46; Joinpoint analysis detected statistically significant changes in trend between 1990-95 in most of the Autonomous Communities&#46; Although apparently rates in Aragon&#44; Valencian Community and Basque Country showed a similar trend&#44; changes were not statistically significant&#46; La Rioja had the highest increase&#44; 3&#46;42&#37; per year&#44; and a very fast decline&#44; -6&#46;35&#37;&#46; It is noteworthy the intense decrease observed in Navarra &#40;-8&#44;28&#37;&#41; while in the other ACs descents ranged between -1&#44;04 in Murcia and -3&#44;4&#37; in Catalonia&#46; Also remarkable was Madrid&#44; where two points of change were identified&#44; defining three different periods&#58; rates had a slow increase until 1985 &#40;1&#46;08&#37;&#41;&#44; a sharp ascent till 1988 &#40;12&#46;74&#37;&#41; and a slight decline since that year &#40;1&#46;04&#37;&#41;&#46; Truncated rates trends among Autonomous Communities had a similar evolution than all-ages groups rates&#44; though with a higher decreasing slope&#46; Every community had a change in trend but the joinpoint analysis only detected significant changes in 10 of them&#46; Murcia was the community with the highest increase before the joinpoint &#40;3&#46;05&#37;&#41;&#44; followed up by La Rioja &#40;2&#46;96&#37;&#41; whose decreasing slope afterwards was very high &#40;-9&#46;33&#37;&#41;&#46; Madrid had again a different pattern from the other ACs&#44; similar to the one observed for all-ages groups rates&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> Breast cancer mortality rates increased in Spain between 1975-1991 and then declined&#46; Screening programs and the improvement in early diagnostic and therapeutic methods might explain this important decline in mortality rates among women&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">121</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">NON-HODGKIN LYMPHOMAS MORTALITY IN MADRID</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Berta Su&#225;rez&#42;&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente&#42;&#44; Consuelo Ib&#225;&#241;ez&#42;&#42;&#44; Valent&#237;n Hern&#225;ndez&#42;&#44; Mario C&#225;rdaba&#42;&#44; Alicia Estirado&#42;&#44; Nuria Aragon&#233;s&#42;&#44; Beatriz P&#233;rez-G&#243;mez&#42;&#44; Marina Poll&#225;n&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;National Centre for Epidemiology&#44; Carlos III Institute&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46; &#42;&#42;Epidemiology Unit&#44; Madrid Regional Health Authority&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> To study the spatial pattern of home addresses of deaths by non-hodgkin lymphomas in the Madrid Autonomous Community&#44; considering mortality as a spatial point process&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material and methods&#58;</span> The mortality registry of the Statistics Institute of the Community of Madrid supplied a database containing information from all death certificates with mention to non-hodgkin lymphomas &#40;NHL&#41; during the period 1991-1997as well as a randomly selected sample of 1500 controls&#44; stratified by year of death and sex&#46; All permanent home addresses of cases and controls were georeferencied in UTM-coordinates&#46; Spatial clusters were detected by means of an approach based on the study of Ripley&#39;s K functions differences among cases and controls&#46; In order to identify clusters&#44; we obtained a relative risk surface comparing the kernel-smoothed spatial intensity of the process among cases and controls&#46; Its intersection with tolerance bounds from the constant region wide relative risk hypothesis allow to locate the clusters&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> 1502 cases of NHL were registered&#46; The case-control comparison showed a possible borderline significant cluster around a distance of 200 meters&#46; The study of the spatial intensity allows to identify NHL clusters in the south area of Torrej&#243;n de Ardoz and in two districts of Madrid city&#46; A classical analysis by logistic regression found the following results for the municipal covariate&#58; Torrej&#243;n OR&#61;1&#46;96 &#40;95&#37; CI 0&#46;76-1&#46;08&#41; and Madrid OR&#61;1&#46;20 &#40;95&#37; CI 0&#46;99-1&#46;45&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> The study of mortality as a spatial point process may be an useful tool to detect patterns that could remain hidden with lattice data analysis&#46; The identified spatial NHL clusters could match partially with the distribution of AIDS rates in the Madrid Region&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">122</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">EVOLUCI&#211;N DE LA MORTALIDAD POR CANCER DE MAMA EN CATALUNYA&#44; 1991-2000</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Xavi Puig&#44; Rosa Gispert&#44; Anna Puigdef&#224;bregas</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Servei d&#39;Informaci&#243; i Estudis&#44; Departament de Sanitat i Seguretat Social&#44; Barcelona&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Antecedentes&#58;</span> La evoluci&#243;n de la mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de mama en a&#241;os recientes manifiesta una clara inflexi&#243;n en la tendencia al aumento significativos mostrado en a&#241;os anteriores&#46; En esta evoluci&#243;n pueden influir tanto la incidencia de este tumor como su supervivencia&#44; aspecto relacionado con la efectividad de la asistencia sanitaria que se presta a estas pacientes&#46; El objetivo del trabajo es analizar si la evoluci&#243;n de la mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de mama por grupo de edad es consistente con la tendencia general de esa causa de mortalidad en Catalunya&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">M&#233;todos&#58;</span> Se han empleado las defunciones por c&#225;ncer de mama &#40;CIM-9&#58;174&#59; CIM-10&#58;C50&#41; del per&#237;odo 1991-2000 del Registro de Mortalidad del Departament de Sanitat de Catalunya&#44; y la poblaci&#243;n a partir de estimaciones intercensales y postcensales&#46; Los datos se disponen truncados para las mujeres mayores de 34 a&#241;os&#44; y estratificados por grupos de edad decenales&#44; siendo el &#250;ltimo abierto 85 a&#241;os y m&#225;s&#46; Para evaluar la tendencia se han ajustado modelos de poisson para cada grupo de edad&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> En el per&#237;odo 1991-2000 se registraron 10&#46;116 defunciones por c&#225;ncer de mama en mujeres mayores de 34 a&#241;os&#46; El porcentaje global de cambio anual es de -2&#44;7&#37;&#46; Esta evoluci&#243;n no es homog&#233;nea por grupos de edad&#44; en los que se observa un claro gradiente&#44; as&#237; las mujeres de 35 a 44 a&#241;os son las que han experimentado una reducci&#243;n m&#225;s acusada&#44; del -5&#44;6&#37;&#44; y paulatinamente se modera la tendencia descendiente con la edad&#44; siendo en las mujeres mayores de 84 a&#241;os de -0&#44;5&#37;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> La reducci&#243;n de las tasas de mortalidad por c&#225;ncer de mama a diferentes edades ha sido muy importante en la &#250;ltima d&#233;cada&#44; con un manifiesto gradiente relacionado con la edad&#46; La reducci&#243;n del la mortalidad de manera consistente en todos los grupos de edad suscribe el efecto beneficioso de las intervenciones sanitarias frente a este tumor&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">123</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">CHEMICALS AND ELECTROMAGNETIC FIELDS OCCUPATIONAL EXPOSURE AND RISK OF TESTICULAR CANCER AMONG SWEDISH MEN</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Alicia Estirado&#42;&#44; Marina Poll&#225;n&#42;&#44; Beatriz P&#233;rez-G&#243;mez&#42;&#44; Per Gustavsson&#42;&#42;&#44; Nils Plato&#42;&#42;&#44; Girgitta Floderus&#42;&#42;&#42;&#44; Nuria Aragon&#233;s&#42;&#44; Montse Alcalde&#42;&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;National Centre for Epidemiology&#44; Carlos III Institute of Health&#44; Madrid&#44; Spain&#46; &#42;&#42;Department of Public Health Sciences&#44; Karolinska Institutet&#44; Stockholm&#44; Sweden&#46; &#42;&#42;&#42;Institute of Environmental Epidemiology&#44; Karolinska Institutet&#44; Stockholm&#44; Sweden&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Previous studies have reported an association between testicular cancer and some jobs&#44; suggesting that certain occupational exposures could play an etiological role&#46; The aim of this study is the association between seminoma and nonseminoma tumours and the occupational exposure to chemicals and electromagnetic fields &#40;ELMF&#41; among Swedish men&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Material and methods&#58;</span> The base population for this historical cohort comprised all Swedish men recorded in the 1960 census&#44; who were gainfully employed at the time of the 1970 census&#44; and were still alive and over the age of 24 years on January 1&#44; 1971&#46; The follow-up period was 19 years &#40;1971-1989&#41;&#46; The Swedish cancer environmental register was used to compute specific rate numerators&#44; and the 1970 census to compute specific rate denominators&#46; Exposure to 13 chemical factors was assessed by linking each combination of occupation and industrial branch to a Swedish job-exposure matrix &#40;JEM&#41;&#44; which classifies them as probable&#44; possible and non exposed&#46; Exposure to ELMF was assessed using a Swedish JEM based on the 100 most common jobs among men&#46; The interaction between chemicals and ELMF was done in the subcohort of subjects with information available for both exposures&#46; Relative risks &#40;RRs&#41; adjusted for age&#44; period&#44; geographical area&#44; town-size and occupational sector were computed using log-linear Poisson models&#46; The same analyses were repeated for young people &#40;&#60;40 years&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> During follow-up a total of 748 seminomas and 405 nonseminomas were reported&#46; In the general cohort&#44; 39 seminomas were possibly exposed to peak of pesticides&#44; with RR&#58; 1&#46;17 &#40;CI 95&#37;&#58; 0&#46;70 - 1&#46;94&#41;&#46; While exposure to solvents for nonseminomas presented a dose response relationship with RR 1&#46;17 for possible exposed and 1&#46;21 for probable exposed&#44; none of them attained statistical significance&#46; Only 8 nonseminomas were possibly exposed to petroleum products&#58; RR&#58; 1&#46;34 &#40;CI 95&#37;&#58; 0&#46;65 - 2&#46;77&#41;&#44; and none was probably exposed to this product&#46; In summary&#44; no statistically significant association was found between chemicals or ELMF and testicular cancer in the general cohort or in the subgroup of younger workers&#46; There was not observed an interaction between ELMF and any of the chemicals studied&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> Our results did not corroborate the previously reported increased risks for occupational exposure to solvents&#44; oil mixtures&#44; petroleum products&#44; PAH or metals&#46; Nevertheless&#44; exposure misclassification caused by JEM may have biased the RRs towards the null hypothesis&#46; ELMF did not act as a risk factor or as an effect modifier for testicular cancer in this cohort&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">124</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">C&#193;NCER DE MAMA EN LA PROVINCIA DE C&#193;DIZ&#58; VARIABLES SOCIODEMOGR&#193;FICAS&#44; CONDUCTAS EN SALUD Y ESTADIO AL DIAGN&#211;STICO</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Mar&#237;a Victoria Garc&#237;a-Palacios&#42;&#44; Encarnaci&#243;n Ben&#237;tez&#42;&#44; Soledad M&#225;rquez&#42;&#42;&#44; Antonio Escolar&#42;&#44; Estrella Figueroa&#42;&#42;&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Servicio de Medicina Preventiva y Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Hospital Universitario Puerta del Mar&#44; C&#225;diz&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;Escuela Andaluza de Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Granada&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;&#42;Servicio de Medicina Preventiva y Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Hospital Universitario de Puerto Real&#44; C&#225;diz&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Objetivos&#58;</span> Describir los factores sociodemogr&#225;ficos&#44; conductas en salud y estadio posquir&#250;rgico TNM de las mujeres diagnosticadas de c&#225;ncer de mama&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Metodolog&#237;a&#58;</span> El estudio prospectivo incluy&#243; todos los casos incidentes de tumor maligno de mama con confirmaci&#243;n histopatol&#243;gica entre el 1 Enero 1999 y 30 Junio 2000 en mujeres residentes en las &#225;reas hospitalarias de C&#225;diz y Puerto Real&#46; Mediante entrevista por personal entrenado se midieron variables sociodemogr&#225;ficas &#40;edad&#44; estado civil&#44; nivel de educaci&#243;n&#44; municipio de residencia&#41;&#44; cl&#237;nicas &#40;primer s&#237;ntoma manifestado y n&#250;mero total de s&#237;ntomas&#41;&#44; del sistema sanitario &#40;distrito&#44; cobertura&#44; tipo de consulta ante el primer s&#237;ntoma&#41;&#44;conductas en salud de la mujer &#40;participaci&#243;n en actividades de detecci&#243;n precoz&#44; autoexploraci&#243;n&#41; y tiempo transcurrido hasta el diagn&#243;stico &#40;retraso debido al paciente&#58; tiempo transcurrido desde la aparici&#243;n del primer s&#237;ntoma a la visita a un m&#233;dico y retraso debido al sistema&#58; desde la visita a un m&#233;dico al diagn&#243;stico&#41;&#46; El estadio tumoral en el momento del diagn&#243;stico se midi&#243; mediante clasificaci&#243;n TNM&#46; Se realiz&#243; an&#225;lisis de frecuencias&#44; medias&#44; DE y porcentajes para la descripci&#243;n de los datos&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> Se estudiaron 179 pacientes &#40;40 asintom&#225;ticas diagnosticadas por screening&#41; con una edad media de 56&#44;9 a&#241;os &#40;rango&#58; 26-90&#41; siendo el 44&#44;4&#37; mujeres &#60; 50 a&#241;os&#46; La mayor parte &#40;59&#44;2&#37;&#41; no ten&#237;a estudios primarios completos&#46; El 60&#37; de las mujeres present&#243; un solo s&#237;ntoma&#44; siendo el m&#225;s frecuente el bulto mamario&#46; Un 46&#37; de las mujeres con edad en criterio de screening no acudi&#243; al mismo&#46; En relaci&#243;n a la autoexploraci&#243;n&#44; el 74&#37; no hab&#237;a o&#237;do hablar de este t&#233;rmino&#44; aunque la mitad de las mujeres la practicaban habitualmente &#40;55&#44;5&#37;&#41;&#46; El 60&#37; de las pacientes acudi&#243; al m&#233;dico en el primer mes desde la percepci&#243;n de su primer s&#237;ntoma&#46; &#40;media 75&#44;4&#59; DE 184&#44;35&#59; mediana 8&#44;0&#59; rango 0-1106 d&#237;as&#41;&#46; El tratamiento quir&#250;rgico se realiz&#243; tras una media de 96&#44;32 d&#237;as &#40;DE 130&#44;18&#44; mediana 55&#44;0&#59; rango 2-1045&#41; siendo el estadio posquir&#250;rgico m&#225;s frecuentemente encontrado el IIa y IIb&#46; El 68&#37; present&#243; un tumor &#62; 2 cent&#237;metros&#44; mientras que solamente el 4&#44;1&#37; present&#243; un estadio con tumor in situ&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> Las mujeres de este estudio tienen una edad similar a la descrita en la literatura&#44; y la mayor&#237;a tiene un nivel educativo bajo&#46; La participaci&#243;n en programas de screening fue menor a la considerada como necesaria para reducir la mortalidad por c&#225;ncer &#40;70&#37;&#41;&#44; por lo que se deben investigar formas de penetraci&#243;n en estos colectivos y otras posibles estrategias de prevenci&#243;n en las mujeres m&#225;s j&#243;venes&#44; no incluidas en estos programas y que representaron casi la mitad de los diagn&#243;sticos&#46; El tratamiento de estas pacientes sufri&#243; una demora sanitaria considerable siendo la mayor&#237;a diagnosticadas con un tumor &#62; 2 cent&#237;metros&#44; momento en el que la enfermedad comienza a crecer m&#225;s r&#225;pidamente&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">125</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">FACTORES SOCIODEMOGR&#193;FICOS&#44; SANITARIOS&#44; CONDUCTA EN SALUD Y ESTADIO DIAGN&#211;STICO DEL C&#193;NCER DE MAMA&#58; COMPARACI&#211;N SEG&#218;N DOS CLASIFICACIONES</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Mar&#237;a Victoria Garc&#237;a-Palacios&#42;&#44; Encarnaci&#243;n Ben&#237;tez&#42;&#44; Soledad M&#225;rquez&#42;&#42;&#44; Antonio Escolar&#42;&#44; Estrella Figueroa&#42;&#42;&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Servicio de Medicina Preventiva y Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Hospital Universitario Puerta del Mar&#44; C&#225;diz&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;Escuela Andaluza de Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Granada&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;&#42;Servicio de Medicina Preventiva y Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Hospital Universitario de Puerto Real&#44; C&#225;diz&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Objetivos&#58;</span> Identificar si existe asociaci&#243;n entre los factores socioecon&#243;micos&#44; sanitarios y conductas en salud previas al diagn&#243;stico&#44; y el estadio posquir&#250;rgico TNM del c&#225;ncer de mama seg&#250;n dos estadiajes diferentes&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Metodolog&#237;a&#58;</span> El estudio prospectivo incluy&#243; todos los casos incidentes de c&#225;ncer de mama con confirmaci&#243;n histopatol&#243;gica entre el 1 Enero 1999 y 30 Junio 2000 en mujeres residentes en las &#225;reas hospitalarias de C&#225;diz y Puerto Real&#46; Se realiz&#243; entrevista personal midiendo factores de utilizaci&#243;n del sistema sanitario&#44; variables cl&#237;nicas&#44; participaci&#243;n en actividades de detecci&#243;n precoz&#44; autoexploraci&#243;n&#44; retraso debido al paciente y al sistema y otras variables &#40;edad&#44; estado civil&#44; nivel de estudios&#46;&#46;&#46;&#41;&#46; La variable dependiente TNM se reconvirti&#243; en estadios cl&#225;sicos &#40;I-IV&#41; y en un segundo estadiaje seg&#250;n diagn&#243;stico precoz &#40;precoz&#58; T0-is-T1&#44; N0-N1&#44; M0 y avanzado&#58; T2-T4&#44; N0-N1&#44;M1&#41;&#46; Mediante regresi&#243;n log&#237;stica se analiz&#243; la relaci&#243;n entre el estadio encontrado y las posibles variables predictoras&#46; Se ha evaluado el ajuste de los modelos&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> Se estudiaron 179 pacientes&#44; siendo los estadios cl&#225;sicos m&#225;s frecuentes el IIa &#40;33&#44;1&#37;&#41; y IIb &#40;21&#44;9&#37;&#41;&#59; presentando el 68&#37; un diagn&#243;stico no precoz&#46; Se encontr&#243; un mayor riesgo de presentar un tama&#241;o tumoral &#62; 2 cm en las mujeres no diagnosticadas por screening &#40;OR &#61; 2&#44;29&#41;&#46; De los 2 modelos de regresi&#243;n finales &#40;excluy&#233;ndose 40 mujeres asintom&#225;ticas&#41;&#44; se relacion&#243; un mayor riesgo de lesiones &#62; 2 cm &#40;diagn&#243;stico avanzado&#41; con&#58; mujeres no casadas &#40;OR &#61; 4&#44;00&#41;&#44; no realizar autoexploraci&#243;n &#40;OR&#61;2&#44;55&#41;&#44; presentar m&#225;s de un s&#237;ntoma &#40;OR &#61; 3&#44;89&#41; y mujeres cuya decisi&#243;n de consultar al m&#233;dico no fuese exclusivamente suya &#40;OR &#61; 2&#44;57&#41;&#46; Se asoci&#243; un mayor retraso en el sistema en los tumores m&#225;s peque&#241;os &#40;5 meses&#44; frente 3 meses en los de mayor tama&#241;o&#41;&#46; El modelo cl&#225;sico relacion&#243; con un mayor estadio&#58; un menor nivel de estudios &#40;OR&#61;7&#44;8&#41;&#44; no realizar autoexploraci&#243;n mamaria &#40;OR &#61; 2&#44;46&#41;&#44; tener un s&#237;ntoma diferente al bulto mamario &#40;OR &#61; 3&#44;73&#41; y cuando la decisi&#243;n de acudir al m&#233;dico no la tomaba exclusivamente la paciente &#40;OR &#61; 2&#44;66&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> La clasificaci&#243;n basada en un diagn&#243;stico precoz &#40;T &#60; 2 cm&#41;&#44; manifest&#243; la importancia del screening en mujeres asintom&#225;ticas y de la consulta precoz ante la presencia de un primer s&#237;ntoma&#44; para lograr diagn&#243;sticos tumorales menores y susceptibles de cirug&#237;a conservadora&#46; No obstante&#44; las pacientes con menor tama&#241;o tumoral sufrieron un mayor retraso en el sistema&#44; cuestionando la preparaci&#243;n de dispositivos para un tratamiento definitivo que amenazar&#237;a la utilidad de la detecci&#243;n precoz&#46; La conducta en salud de la mujer&#44; como la discutida autoexploraci&#243;n&#44; se relacion&#243; con un tama&#241;o tumoral menor y estadios menos avanzados&#46; El bajo nivel cultural y el presentar un s&#237;ntoma diferente al bulto mamario aparecen como el principal predictor de una enfermedad avanzada&#44; por lo que deber&#237;a plantearse una informaci&#243;n dirigida a estos grupos que evitara un retraso excesivo por parte del paciente&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">126</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">BREAST CANCER RISK FACTORS&#44; ACCORDING TO JOINT ESTROGEN RECEPTOR&#47;PROGESTERONE RECEPTOR STATUS OF TUMOR</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Jennifer A&#46; Rusiecki&#44; Theodore R&#46; Holford&#44; Tongzhang Zheng</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Department of Epidemiology and Public Health&#44; Yale University&#44; School of Medicine&#44; New Haven&#44; USA&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Most of the risk factors identified for breast cancer have been found to have modest relative risks and account for only a portion of breast cancer cases&#46; Characterization of breast tumors on both estrogen receptor &#40;ER&#41; and progesterone receptor &#40;PR&#41; status suggests distinct biological and clinical profiles&#46; Therefore&#44; analyzing breast cancer as one disease may obscure associations with suspected risk factors and lead to studies finding weak associations&#46; Based on these profiles&#44; it has been hypothesized that tumors responsive for both hormones &#40;ER&#43;PR&#43;&#41; are most closely associated with hormone-related risk factors&#44; tumors unresponsive for both hormones &#40;ER-PR-&#41; are less associated with these risk factors&#44; and receptor discordant tumors &#40;ER&#43;PR- and ER-PR&#43;&#41; have intermediate effects&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> In this case-control study we investigated whether the effects of suspected risk factors for breast cancer varied by joint ER&#47;PR status of tumor&#44; by examining age at menarche&#44; age at first full term pregnancy&#44; nulliparity&#44; lifetime lactation&#44; menopausal status&#44; body mass index&#44; ever use of estrogen&#44; alcohol intake&#44; smoking&#44; family history and race&#44; for four tumor subtypes &#40;ER&#43;PR&#43;&#44; ER-PR-&#44; ER&#43;PR- and ER-PR&#43;&#41;&#46; For a given risk factor&#44; odds ratios with respect to the common control group were compared using multiple logistic regression&#44; adjusted for all other risk factors simultaneously&#46; We also compared the ER&#43;PR&#43; case group to the ER-PR- case group&#44; since it has been hypothesized that they represent the two breast cancer subtypes which differ most substantially&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> Among 420 cases and 406 controls&#44; the effects of some risk factors varied by joint ER&#47;PR status&#46; Early age at menarche &#40;&#60;12 years&#41; was most strongly associated with ER-PR&#43; tumors &#40;OR&#61;2&#46;3&#59; 95&#37;CI&#44; 0&#46;7-8&#46;4&#41;&#46; Additionally&#44; women with ER&#43;PR&#43; tumors were 2&#46;2 times more likely to have experienced early menarche than women with ER-PR- tumors &#40;95&#37;CI&#44; 0&#46;8-6&#46;2&#41;&#46; Women who had an older age at their first pregnancy &#40;&#61; 30 years&#41; were most likely to have ER&#43;PR- tumors &#40;OR&#61;2&#46;2&#59; 95&#37;CI&#44; 1&#46;1-4&#46;5&#41;&#46; Women who reported ever having consumed alcohol were 3&#46;4 times more likely to have ER&#43;PR&#43; tumors than ER-PR- tumors &#40;95&#37;CI&#44; 1&#46;4-8&#46;4&#41;&#46; Family history of breast cancer was most closely associated with ER&#43;PR&#43; tumors &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;5&#59; 95&#37;CI&#44; 0&#46;9-2&#46;5&#41; and ER&#43;PR- tumors &#40;OR&#61;1&#46;5&#59; 95&#37;CI&#44; 0&#46;8-2&#46;9&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> Although we detected several interesting individual effects&#44; there was no clear pattern of association whereby ER&#43;PR&#43; tumors were most closely associated with hormonally mediated risk factors and ER-PR- tumors were more closely associated with non-hormonally mediated risk factors&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">127</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">FACTORES ASOCIADOS AL LUGAR DE FALLECIMIENTO DE LOS PACIENTES CON C&#193;NCER&#46; GRANADA&#44; 1995-99</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Maria Jos&#233; S&#225;nchez&#42;&#44; Maria Teresa Guerrero&#42;&#44; Elena Corpas&#42;&#44; Carmen Mart&#237;nez&#42;&#44; Rafael G&#225;lvez&#42;&#42;&#44; Nicol&#225;s Olea&#42;&#42;&#42;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#42;Registro de C&#225;ncer de Granada&#44; Escuela Andaluza de Salud P&#250;blica&#44; Granada&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;Hospital Universitario Virgen de las Nieves&#44; Granada&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46; &#42;&#42;&#42;Hospital Universitario San Cecilio&#44; Granada&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Antecedentes&#58;</span> Diversos estudios han mostrado la preferencia de los pacientes con c&#225;ncer por permanecer en su domicilio hasta la muerte&#46; La experiencia en diversas &#225;reas en pa&#237;ses desarrollados muestra que el porcentaje de los que mueren en su domicilio es inferior al 50&#37;&#46; El lugar de la muerte est&#225; condicionado por factores sociodemogr&#225;ficos&#44; caracter&#237;sticas del propio tumor o duraci&#243;n de la supervivencia&#44; pero tambi&#233;n por la organizaci&#243;n de la atenci&#243;n domiciliaria o de los cuidados paliativos&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Los objetivos fueron&#58; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">1&#41;</span> conocer el lugar de la muerte &#40;hospital o domicilio&#41; de todas las personas fallecidas en el a&#241;o 1999 y diagnosticadas por primera vez de c&#225;ncer entre 1995 y 1999&#44; residentes en la provincia de Granada&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">2&#41;</span> identificar los factores asociados al lugar de la defunci&#243;n&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">M&#233;todos&#58;</span> Estudio descriptivo transversal de base poblacional&#46; Se incluyeron todos los fallecidos en el a&#241;o 1999&#44; diagnosticados por primera vez de c&#225;ncer en el per&#237;odo 1995-1999&#44; residentes en la provincia de Granada&#46; La informaci&#243;n se obtuvo del Registro de C&#225;ncer de Granada&#46; Para la codificaci&#243;n de la localizaci&#243;n anat&#243;mica del c&#225;ncer se utiliz&#243; la Clasificaci&#243;n Estad&#237;stica Internacional de Enfermedades y Problemas Relacionados con la Salud &#40;CIE-10&#41;&#46; Las principales variables de estudio fueron&#58; edad&#44; g&#233;nero&#44; lugar de residencia &#40;municipios mayores o menores de 20&#46;000 habitantes&#41;&#44; a&#241;o de diagn&#243;stico&#44; localizaci&#243;n del tumor&#44; tiempo de supervivencia desde el diagn&#243;stico&#44; ingresos hospitalarios durante el a&#241;o del fallecimiento&#44; contacto con Unidad de Cuidados Paliativos y&#47;o del Dolor &#40;UCP&#41;&#46; Para conocer los factores asociados al lugar de la muerte se realiz&#243; un an&#225;lisis de regresi&#243;n log&#237;stica multivariante&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> Se incluyeron 1&#46;393 fallecimientos del a&#241;o 1999&#46; M&#225;s del 50&#37; eran hombres y un 80&#37; eran mayores de 60 a&#241;os&#46; Los c&#225;nceres m&#225;s frecuentes fueron los de pulm&#243;n&#44; colon-recto y pr&#243;stata en hombres y los de mama&#44; colon-recto y leucemias en mujeres&#46; El 38&#37; falleci&#243; en el hospital&#44; si bien en un 10&#37; adicional de los casos el fallecimiento se produjo en un per&#237;odo inferior a 3 d&#237;as desde el alta hospitalaria&#46; Los pacientes con leucemias y linfomas fallecieron con mayor frecuencia en el hospital&#46; En el an&#225;lisis multivariante&#44; los sujetos que presentaron mayor riesgo de morir en el hospital fueron los menores de 60 a&#241;os&#44; residentes en Granada ciudad o grandes n&#250;cleos urbanos&#44; que hab&#237;an tenido un ingreso hospitalario en el a&#241;o 1999&#44; que no hab&#237;an tenido contacto con la UCP y cuya supervivencia era inferior a 2 meses&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> Del total de los pacientes con cancer fallecidos en el a&#241;o 1999&#44; casos incidentes del periodo 1995-1999&#44; un 38&#37; falleci&#243; en el hospital&#46; El lugar de fallecimiento se asoci&#243; con la edad&#44; el &#225;mbito de residencia&#44; la duraci&#243;n de la supervivencia y la asistencia en Unidades de Cuidados Paliativos&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">128</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">ATTITUDES OF POLISH WOMEN TO SCREENING MAMMOGRAPHY PROGRAMS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Ingrid Rozylo-Kalinowska<span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>&#44; Pawel Kalinowski<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; Alina Bochenska<span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>&#44; T&#46; Katarzyna Rozylo<span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>2nd Department of Medical Radiology&#44; University Medical School of Lublin&#44; Lublin&#44; Poland&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>Department of Epidemiology&#44; University Medical School of Lublin&#44; Lublin&#44; Poland&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>Private Medical Practice&#44; Wyszk&#243;w&#44; Poland&#46; <span class="elsevierStyleSup"> 4</span>Department of Dental and Maxillofacial Radiology&#44; University Medical School of Lublin&#44; Lublin&#44; Poland&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> Breast carcinoma is one of the most prevalent malignant neoplasms in Polish women&#46; The etiology of the disease has not been fully understood therefore there are no methods of primary prevention&#44; and secondary prevention in the form of screening mammography is used&#46; The success of a screening program depends for the most part on attendance rate of the patients as well as their attitude towards the examination&#46; The objective of the study was to examine the knowledge on purposefulness of mammography among peri-menopausal women as well as to determine their psychological attitude towards planned screening mammography&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> Two-hundred and fifty women inhabitants of Wyszk&#243;w administrative unit in Poland&#44; who attended free screening mammography on the basis of contract with Mazovia Sick Fund in the year 2002&#44; comprised the material&#46; Anonymous questionnaire was filled after an informed consent&#44; directly before the mammographic procedure&#46; The questionnaire contained elements of the Psychological Consequences Questionnaire &#40;PCQ&#41;&#46; The data were analyzed statistically taking into account such demographic data as age&#44; education&#44; marital status&#44; and place of residence&#46; There was analyzed the knowledge of patients on mammography&#44; their motivation for attending such examinations&#44; psychological attitude connected with possible consequences of the result of the procedure&#44; anxiety associated with pain caused by the mammographic technique&#44; as well as declared will to regularly repeat the screening in future&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> The majority of the patients attended screening mammography because it was free as well as because they feared an undetected neoplastic lesion&#46; The women were often preoccupied with the influence of the expected result of mammography on their future&#46; Most of the patients were decided on attending screening mammography in future despite psychological discomfort and physical pain caused by the procedure&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> It was found that psychological attitude influences attendance rate in screening mammography and the decision on further participation in screening programs&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">129</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">C&#193;NCER EN LA POBLACI&#211;N ANCIANA DE LA REGI&#211;N DE MURCIA</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Maria Dolores Chirlaque&#44; Carmen Navarro&#44; Miguel Rodr&#237;guez&#44; Jacinta Tortosa&#44; Isabel Valera&#44; Encarnaci&#243;n P&#225;rraga</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Servicio de Epidemiolog&#237;a&#44; Consejer&#237;a de Sanidad y Consumo de la Regi&#243;n de Murcia&#44; Murcia&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introducci&#243;n&#58;</span> La incidencia de c&#225;ncer en la poblaci&#243;n anciana rara vez es estudiada&#44; agrup&#225;ndose en mayores de 75 &#243; 85 a&#241;os&#46; La poblaci&#243;n mayor de 65 a&#241;os en la Regi&#243;n de Murcia registra un incremento del 11&#44;8&#37; al 14&#44;3&#37; en los censos de poblaci&#243;n de 1991 y 2001&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Objetivo&#58;</span> An&#225;lisis detallado de la incidencia de c&#225;ncer en los ancianos de la Regi&#243;n de Murcia&#44; y medici&#243;n de la exhaustividad y exactitud de la informaci&#243;n&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">M&#233;todos&#58;</span> Datos obtenidos del Registro de C&#225;ncer poblacional de la Regi&#243;n de Murcia&#46; Casos incidentes del periodo 1993-96&#46; La clasificaci&#243;n de los tumores utilizada es la CIE-10&#46; Incidencia por grupos de edad &#40;65&#44; 70&#44; 75&#44; 80&#44; 85&#44; 90&#44; 95&#44; 100 o m&#225;s&#41; en ambos sexos de las localizaciones tumorales m&#225;s frecuentes por 100&#46;000 habitantes&#46; La poblaci&#243;n se ha obtenido de una estimaci&#243;n intercensal de los censos de 1991 y 2001&#46; La exhaustividad se mide mediante el porcentaje de casos notificados a partir del certificado de defunci&#243;n&#44; la raz&#243;n mortalidad&#47;incidencia y el porcentaje de casos confirmados microsc&#243;picamente&#46; La exactitud de los datos es medida por el porcentaje de casos cuya &#250;nica fuente es el certificado de defunci&#243;n y casos cuya localizaci&#243;n primaria es desconocida&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Resultados&#58;</span> En hombres&#44; el c&#225;ncer de tr&#225;quea&#44; bronquios y pulm&#243;n presenta la mayor tasa en el grupo de 85-89 a&#241;os con 543 casos&#47;100&#46;000 hab&#44; al igual que el de colon &#40;331&#41;&#46; En el grupo de 90-94 a&#241;os alcanzan su mayor incidencia los tumores de pr&#243;stata &#40;792&#47;100&#46;000&#41;&#44; vejiga &#40;517&#41; y recto &#40;275&#41;&#46; En las mujeres&#44; el c&#225;ncer de cuerpo de &#250;tero presenta su mayor incidencia en el grupo de 60-79 a&#241;os &#40;oscilando de 62 a 73&#47;100&#46;000&#41;&#44; el de mama s&#243;lo supera la tasa de 200&#47;100&#46;000 en las mujeres de 70 a 74 a&#241;os y las localizaciones que presenta la mayor tasa a edades muy avanzadas son las de colon y vejiga&#46; El porcentaje de casos con verificaci&#243;n histol&#243;gica cae de 92&#37; en el grupo de 65-69 a&#241;os&#44; al 17&#37; en hombres y 31&#37; en mujeres en el grupo de 95-99 a&#241;os&#46; El porcentaje de casos notificados a partir del certificado de defunci&#243;n es muy elevado y mayor en hombres de 95-99 a&#241;os &#40;67&#37;&#41; que en mujeres &#40;50&#37;&#41;&#46; La raz&#243;n mortalidad&#47;incidencia aumenta de forma acusada en los grupos de mayor edad&#44; as&#237; como tambi&#233;n empeoran el resto de indicadores de calidad apreci&#225;ndose un agravamiento m&#225;s notable en los hombres en el grupo 80-84 a&#241;os y en las mujeres en el de 85-89&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusiones&#58;</span> En los muy ancianos aumenta de forma acusada la incidencia de las localizaciones tumorales m&#225;s frecuentes&#44; principalmente en hombres&#44; a la vez que los indicadores de calidad muestran que la exhaustividad y la exactitud de los datos es bastante menor&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">130</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">CHANGE-POINTS IN COHORT AND PERIOD EFFECTS ON MORTALITY TRENDS FROM RENAL CANCER IN EUROPE</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Napole&#243;n P&#233;rez-Farin&#243;s&#44; Roberto Pastor-Barriuso&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente Ortega</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Centro Nacional de Epidemiolog&#237;a&#44; Instituto de Salud Carlos III&#44; Madrid&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Background&#58;</span> Recent studies from Europe have shown a global increase in age-adjusted mortality rates from renal cancer&#44; but time trends differ in their shapes among the different European countries&#46; Although age&#44; period&#44; and cohort analyses are useful to graphically display the effect of each individual component&#44; the visual identification of trend changes with this method is subjective&#46; The aim of this study is to formally detect and estimate change-points in cohort and period effects&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> Renal cancer deaths &#40;ICD-9 code 189&#41; and person-years at risk by sex and 5-year age groups were obtained from the WHO database&#46; Data were aggregated in 5-year periods from 1969 to 1999 according to the available data for each country&#46; The 15 European countries with complete series were grouped in 4 homogeneous regions&#58; Nordic &#40;Denmark&#44; Finland&#44; Norway&#44; Sweden&#41;&#44; Central-West &#40;Austria&#44; France&#44; Holland&#44; Ireland&#44; Switzerland&#44; United Kingdom&#41;&#44; East &#40;Bulgaria&#44; Hungary&#41;&#44; and South &#40;Greece&#44; Italy&#44; Spain&#41;&#46; Age- and country-adjusted log-linear Poisson models were fitted within each region to test for the existence of a change-point in cohort and period curvatures&#46; The model&#44; that was implemented in S-Plus&#44; consists of two intersecting linear trends with a smooth transition at an unknown change-point and it provides&#58; &#40;a&#41; the significance level of the test for the change-point&#44; &#40;b&#41; the estimate and 95&#37; CI for the location of the change-point&#44; and &#40;c&#41; the estimates and 95&#37; CIs for annual percentage changes in death rates below and above the estimated change-point&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> Among men&#44; significant changes in cohort and period effects were detected in Nordic&#44; Central-West and South regions &#40;P values &#60; 0&#46;001&#41;&#46; In the Nordic region&#44; the change-point was estimated in 1923 cohort &#40;95&#37; CI 1917 - 1935&#41;&#44; with a 0&#46;37&#37; annual increase below that cohort &#40;0&#46;04 - 0&#46;69&#37;&#41; and a 1&#46;94&#37; annual decrease above it &#40;1&#46;35 - 2&#46;52&#37;&#41;&#46; The annual increase was significantly attenuated from 3&#46;00&#37; below to 0&#46;64&#37; above 1909 cohort for the Central-West region&#44; and from 4&#46;29&#37; below to 0&#46;70&#37; above 1920 cohort for the South region&#46; In the East region&#44; no evidence of change-points in cohort and period effects was detected &#40;P values &#61; 1&#46;00&#41;&#44; with a net annual increase of 2&#46;69&#37; &#40;2&#46;22 - 3&#46;15&#37;&#41;&#46; Within each region&#44; patterns for period and cohort effects were consistent&#46; Time trends for women were fairly similar to those obtained among men&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Discussion&#58;</span> Our results show that&#44; for cohorts born after about 1920&#44; death rates from renal cancer have decreased or levelled off in most European countries&#44; except for those in the eastern region&#44; where the increasing trend continues&#46; Although several factors&#44; such as the development of new diagnostic tests&#44; may contribute to renal-cancer mortality trends&#44; our results suggest that smoking patterns may largely be responsible for the observed differences among European countries&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">131 ADVANCES ON THE STUDY OF SMALL AREA CANCER MORTALITY IN SPAIN</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"> Valent&#237;n Hern&#225;ndez&#44; Gonzalo L&#243;pez-Abente&#44; M&#46; Poll&#225;n&#44; N&#46; Aragon&#233;s&#44; B&#46; P&#233;rez-G&#243;mez</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#193;rea de Epidemiolog&#237;a Ambiental y C&#225;ncer&#44; Centro Nacional de Epidemiolog&#237;a&#44; Madrid&#44; Espa&#241;a&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Introduction&#58;</span> In geographical studies&#44; the choice of a large-sized administrative spatial unit &#40;such as provinces&#41; tends to dilute the pattern&#44; there being a tendency for differences in risk between smaller intra-provincial areas to be mutually offset&#46; The study of smaller-sized and more homogeneous areas &#40;e&#46;g&#46;&#44; towns&#41; can be useful as a technique for detecting underlying environmental problems&#46; Against this&#44; the choice of town as unit of analysis poses the problem of low numbers of cases&#44; and the use of classic indicators may yield unstable results&#46; The usefulness of smoothed estimators &#40;empirical Bayes&#44; full Bayes&#41; in such a situation has been acknowledged&#46; Our objective is to show the possibility to analyse the mortality pattern of all Spanish towns using a unique regression model&#44; thus obtaining a smoothed map&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Methods&#58;</span> The study covered cancer deaths registered during the period 1989-1998 in Spain&#46; The number of expected deaths was calculated for each of the 8077 towns&#44; with the overall mortality for Spain by age group and sex taken as reference&#46; Person-years were computed on the basis of the 1991 and 1996 census by sex and five-year age groups&#46; In order to obtain a smoothed image of the municipal mortality&#44; we fitted Poisson spatial models&#44; which included two random effects terms&#58; a&#41; municipal contiguity &#40;spatial term&#41;&#59; and b&#41; municipal heterogeneity&#46; These models belong to the so-called conditional autoregressive &#40;CAR&#41; models for disease mapping&#44; initially proposed by Besag&#44; York and Molli&#233;&#46; The models were fitted using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods with non-informative priors with the WinBugs software&#46; Adjacency of municipal boundaries were employed as criterion of contiguity&#46; Parameter of goodness of fit were calculated and convergence diagnostics were conducted on a sample of towns of different population sizes using tests included in the library CODA for R&#46; Mortality map for emerging tumours &#40;myeloma&#43;non-hodgkin lymphomas&#41; that share some chemical&#47;physical risk factors is shown to illustrate the procedure&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Results&#58;</span> It has been possible to compile and to obtain the posterior distribution of the relative risk from an unique spatial model including the 8077 Spanish towns and the corresponding 47916 adjacencies&#44; investing affordable computing times&#46; The map shows a diffuse pattern with some areas of apparently higher mortality&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Conclusions&#58;</span> This strategy presents important advantages as&#58; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">1&#41;</span> their high spatial resolution&#44; which might be useful for environmental surveillance purposes in some cancer locations&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic"> 2&#41;</span> the decrease of edge effect problems&#44; present in atlases bounded to a province or an autonomous region and&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">3&#41;</span> the efficiency of the method&#46; More research is necessary to solve problems as the excess of zeros and the selection of priors and contiguity criteria&#46;</p>"
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